Research Article

Modeling Agroecosystem Services under Simulated Climate and Land-Use Changes

Table 2

Variance components and their level of significance accounted for by fixed factors, random factors, and their interaction in two simulation scenarios involving 12 soil series and eight crop rotations in the Chippewa River Watershed, MN.

Fixed factorRandom factor
SimulationVariableCrop rotationCrops (crop rotation)Soil seriesCrop rotation × soil series
Probability of F-valueProbability of z-value (% variance)

Past 100 yrsBiomass0.0010.0010.05 (61%)0.21 (3%)
Grain yield0.0050.050.02 (45%)0.09 (6%)
Soil carbon0.00010.120.01 (74%)0.05 (12%)
NO3-N0.0050.150.05 (34%)0.01 (54%)
NH4-N0.050.090.05 (29%)0.01 (56%)
Runoff0.00010.070.02 (54%)0.01 (32%)
Erosion0.00010.110.01 (52%)0.01 (40%)

Future 100 yrs (A2 scenario)Biomass0.0010.0010.01 (56%)0.05 (5%)
Grain yield0.0010.0010.01 (45%)0.14 (5%)
Soil carbon0.00010.100.001 (62%)0.05 (23%)
NO3-N0.0010.070.02 (48%)0.05 (31%)
NH4-N0.0010.090.05 (32%)0.02 (46%)
Runoff0.00010.140.01 (64%)0.05 (30%)
Erosion0.00010.220.02 (45%)0.05 (27%)