Research Article

Predictors of Conversion to Multiple Sclerosis in Patients with Clinical Isolated Syndrome Using the 2010 Revised McDonald Criteria

Table 2

Clinical and radiological predictors of CIS conversion to MS after 2 years.

Demographic dataCIS cohortMS cohortP value

Sex
 Female21 (21.6%)34 (35.1%)0.4
 Male18 (18.6%)24 (24.7%)0.08

Age (mean SD)30.21 6.7024.64 6.770.01*

Age
30 years 18 (18.6%)45 (46.4%)0.002*
3021 (21.6%)13 (13.4%)0.23

Age at onset (mean SD)25.59 6.8921.62 6.150.01*

Age at onset
30 years24 (24.7%)49 (50.5%)0.01*
3015 (15.5%)9 (9.3%)0.2

Clinical presentation
 Optic nerve6 (6.2%)11 (11.3%)0.4
 Brainstem/cerebellum8 (8.2%)15 (15.5%)0.4
 Spinal cord11 (11.3%)19 (19.3%)0.5
 Supratentorial13 (13.4%)18 (18.6%)0.4

Number of lesions in MRI
 No lesion(2.1%)0 (0%)
 1–3 lesions16 (16.5%)2 (3.4%)0.001*
 4–8 lesions16 (16.5%)21 (21.7%)0.2
 ≥9 lesions5 (5.2%)35 (36.1%)0.002*

*Statistically significant.