Contribution of Alcohol to Hypertension Mortality in Russia

Table 2

Estimated effects (bivariate ARIMA model) of overall alcohol consumption on IHD mortality rates.

Parameter	Model	Estim.	𝑃	AAF
HTN mortality males	0.1.1*	0.063**	0.000	0.575
HTN mortality females	0.1.1	0.049	0.001	0.486

∗The general form of nonseasonal ARIMA model is (𝑝, 𝑑, 𝑞), where 𝑝 is the order of the autoregressive parameter, 𝑑 is the order of differencing, and 𝑞 is the order of the moving average parameter. 𝑄-test for residuals are satisfactory in all models.
**Estimates express the actual alcohol effect/100.