Research Article

Motorist's Response to an Increase in Traffic Fines

Table 3

Effect of a raise in fines on the number of fines for speeding on the motorway, detected by an ASMS.

VariableCoefficient -Statistic

Constant324.575**30.039
Fine amount−0.139*,†−1.812
Unemployment−0.142**−5.809
GDP−1.032**−10.131
Yearly trend−0.155**−28.903
Seasona
 Summer 0.073**10.592
 Autumn −0.212**−31.464
 Winter −0.067**−10.440
Truck, bus, or trailer−3.628**−166.403
Maximum speedb
 80 km/h2.307**146.976
 90 km/h1.044**52.432
 100 km/h0.823**56.882
+15 location dummiesc
+37 dummies for the number of kilometers with which the speed limit was exceededc
Number of observations116,812
Adjusted 1st stage 0.998
Adjusted generalized 2nd staged0.925

Significantly different from 0 at 90% level.
**Significantly different from 0 at 95% level.
Significantly different from −1 at 95% level.
aSpring is the reference category.
b120 km/u is the reference category.
cThe results for all the dummy variables are available upon request.
dSee Pesaran and Smith [23].