Research Article

Concealed Handgun Licensing and Crime in Four States

Table 5

Multivariate analysis of changes in county crime rates per population of 100,000, using both one-year lagged and two-year lagged CHL ().

CrimesChange in CHL rate (one-year lag)Change in CHL rate (two-year lag)Model  prob.<
(se) (se)

Personal−4.35 (3.76)3.32 (3.79)2.90.000
Property−4.52 (7.55)6.82 (7.89)4.50.000
Murder0.02 (0.50)−0.03 (0.51)1.50.094
Rape−0.27 (0.82)0.62 (0.92)4.00.000
Robbery0.85 (0.96)0.34 (1.00)3.20.000
Assault−4.74 (3.62)2.01 (3.54)3.30.000
Burglary−4.22 (4.71)5.22 (4.70)1.90.024
Larceny4.15 (5.69)−4.10 (6.17)5.40.000
Auto theft−0.68 (1.35)−0.35 (1.45)3.60.000

Logged.
Year and state are included in models, but coefficients are not displayed. Across all models, variables representing states were significant.