Research Article

The All-Cause Mortality and a Screening Tool to Determine High-Risk Patients among Prevalent Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Patients

Table 5

Sensitivity and specificity analysis and logistic regression of probability of event of ≥0.5 in predicting mortality within five years.

Probability of eventDescriptionDied within 5 yearsSensitivity (95% CI)Specificity (95% CI)Logistic regression
NoYesOR (95% CI), value

<0.5Predict to survive within 5 years25,398 (99.8%)3349 (98.7%)1.33% (0.97%, 1.77%)99.79% (99.73%, 99.84%)6.4 (4.3, 9.6),
≥0.5Predict to die within 5 years53 (0.2%)45 (1.3%)

Note: positive predicted value (PPV) was 45.9% (36.4%, 55.8%). Negative predicted value (NPV) was 88.4% (88.3%, 88.4%).