Is Urbanisation Rate a Feasible Supplemental Parameter in Forecasting Electricity Consumption in China?

<div>Linear regression results of four parts of EC in model (iv). <svg height="12.0575pt" id="M27" style="vertical-align:-3.2911pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.7664 30.3332 12.0575" width="30.3332pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M517 162C503 123 484 88 467 68C445 42 417 34 341 34C291 34 256 34 237 47C219 59 213 81 213 128V317H308C395 317 402 311 415 240H444V431H415C403 364 398 356 307 356H213V584C213 613 215 616 246 616H322C394 616 421 609 435 587C448 566 458 544 467 502L496 506C493 557 488 625 488 650H42V622C120 616 128 612 128 523V125C128 43 120 35 29 28V0H511C520 31 540 125 546 158L517 162Z" id="g121-67"></path><glyph.data ascent="989" descent="-360" horiz-adv-x="568" vert-adv-y="568"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,7.384,0)"><path d="M614 175C564 76 510 21 408 21C256 21 146 149 146 336C146 488 235 629 402 629C510 629 570 586 597 480L626 488C620 541 614 582 606 638C578 643 510 665 429 665C206 665 44 527 44 316C44 157 153 -15 402 -15C474 -15 558 5 586 11C604 45 629 119 643 165L614 175Z" id="g121-65"></path><glyph.data ascent="989" descent="-360" horiz-adv-x="665" vert-adv-y="665"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,16.089,3.132)"><path d="M389 0V32C297 38 291 46 291 118V635C234 613 175 595 109 583V556L161 554C203 552 207 547 207 497V118C207 46 201 38 110 32V0H389Z" id="g50-50"></path><glyph.data ascent="3443" descent="-2856" horiz-adv-x="487" vert-adv-y="487"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,20.521,3.132)"><path d="M469 201V252H50V201H469Z" id="g190-178"></path><glyph.data ascent="989" descent="-360" horiz-adv-x="520" vert-adv-y="520"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,25.27,3.132)"><path d="M290 377C321 398 342 415 358 430C378 450 389 473 389 502C389 578 329 635 238 635H237C184 635 137 610 109 578L64 515L88 493C112 529 154 573 208 573S303 542 303 482C303 409 233 370 141 341L149 308C165 313 190 319 215 319C272 319 341 283 341 193C342 98 292 43 222 43C163 43 122 72 96 94C88 101 79 100 70 94C61 87 47 73 46 60C44 47 48 37 62 23C76 10 118 -12 165 -12C238 -12 430 62 430 223C430 297 379 359 290 375V377Z" id="g50-52"></path><glyph.data ascent="3443" descent="-2856" horiz-adv-x="487" vert-adv-y="487"></glyph.data></g></svg> were regressed with UR; <svg height="11.9479pt" id="M28" style="vertical-align:-3.181499pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.7664 21.6558 11.9479" width="21.6558pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M517 162C503 123 484 88 467 68C445 42 417 34 341 34C291 34 256 34 237 47C219 59 213 81 213 128V317H308C395 317 402 311 415 240H444V431H415C403 364 398 356 307 356H213V584C213 613 215 616 246 616H322C394 616 421 609 435 587C448 566 458 544 467 502L496 506C493 557 488 625 488 650H42V622C120 616 128 612 128 523V125C128 43 120 35 29 28V0H511C520 31 540 125 546 158L517 162Z" id="g121-67"></path><glyph.data ascent="989" descent="-360" horiz-adv-x="568" vert-adv-y="568"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,7.384,0)"><path d="M614 175C564 76 510 21 408 21C256 21 146 149 146 336C146 488 235 629 402 629C510 629 570 586 597 480L626 488C620 541 614 582 606 638C578 643 510 665 429 665C206 665 44 527 44 316C44 157 153 -15 402 -15C474 -15 558 5 586 11C604 45 629 119 643 165L614 175Z" id="g121-65"></path><glyph.data ascent="989" descent="-360" horiz-adv-x="665" vert-adv-y="665"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,16.089,3.132)"><path d="M522 0V30C462 35 455 41 455 106V280C455 397 397 451 314 451C262 451 206 414 171 379V710C131 698 69 682 20 675V647C87 642 90 637 90 574V106C90 41 80 35 20 30V0H236V30C176 35 171 43 171 106V339C198 371 237 391 276 391C341 391 374 350 374 269V106C374 43 367 35 308 30V0H522Z" id="g58-102"></path><glyph.data ascent="1007" descent="-369" horiz-adv-x="544" vert-adv-y="544"></glyph.data></g></svg> was regressed with GDP.</div>

Journal of Engineering

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Figure 7

Figure 7: Is Urbanisation Rate a Feasible Supplemental Parameter in Forecasting Electricity Consumption in China? 