- About this Journal ·
- Abstracting and Indexing ·
- Aims and Scope ·
- Article Processing Charges ·
- Author Guidelines ·
- Bibliographic Information ·
- Citations to this Journal ·
- Contact Information ·
- Editorial Board ·
- Editorial Workflow ·
- Free eTOC Alerts ·
- Publication Ethics ·
- Recently Accepted Articles ·
- Reviewers Acknowledgment ·
- Submit a Manuscript ·
- Subscription Information ·
- Table of Contents
Journal of Obesity
Volume 2013 (2013), Article ID 129193, 10 pages
Systems Science and Childhood Obesity: A Systematic Review and New Directions
1Department of Pediatrics, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, CB 7225, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA
2Department of Health Care Organization and Policy, School of Public Health, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL 35294, USA
Received 15 February 2013; Revised 26 March 2013; Accepted 27 March 2013
Academic Editor: Reza Majdzadeh
Copyright © 2013 Asheley Cockrell Skinner and E. Michael Foster. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
- J. D. Sterman, “Learning from evidence in a complex world,” American Journal of Public Health, vol. 96, no. 3, pp. 505–514, 2006.
- J. Sterman, Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World, McGraw–Hill, Boston, Mass, USA, 2000.
- “From system dynamics and discrete event to practical agent based modeling: reasons, techniques, tools,” in Proceedings of the22nd International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, A. Borshchev and A. Filippov, Eds., Oxford, UK, July 2004.
- J. W. Forrester, “Industrial dynamics: a major breakthrough for decision makers,” Harvard Business Review, vol. 36, no. 4, pp. 37–66, 1958.
- J. Banks and J. S. Carson, Discrete-Event System Simulation, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ, USA, 1984.
- J. M. Epstein, “Agent-based computational models and generative social science,” Complexity, vol. 4, no. 5, pp. 41–60, 1999.
- P. Barton, S. Bryan, and S. Robinson, “Modelling in the economic evaluation of health care: selecting the appropriate approach,” Journal of Health Services Research and Policy, vol. 9, no. 2, pp. 110–118, 2004.
- National Academy of Engineering and Institute of Medicine (U.S.), Building a Better Delivery System: A New Engineering/Health Care Partnership, P. P. Reid, W. D. Compton , J. H. Grossman , G. Fanjiang, Eds., National Academies Press, Washington, DC, USA, 2005.
- D. M. Gorman, J. Mezic, I. Mezic, and P. J. Gruenewald, “Agent-based modeling of drinking behavior: a preliminary model and potential applications to theory and practice,” American Journal of Public Health, vol. 96, no. 11, pp. 2055–2060, 2006.
- G. B. Hirsch, B. L. Edelstein, M. Frosh, and T. Anselmo, “A simulation model for designing effective interventions in early childhood caries,” Preventing Chronic Disease, vol. 9, p. E66, 2012.
- T. E. Day, A. R. Al-Roubaie, and E. J. Goldlust, “Decreased length of stay after addition of healthcare provider in emergency department triage: a comparison between computer-simulated and real-world interventions,” Emergency Medicine Journal, vol. 30, no. 2, pp. 134–138, 2013.
- P. P. Maglio and P. L. Mabry, “Agent-based models and systems science approaches to public health,” American Journal of Preventive Medicine, vol. 40, no. 3, pp. 392–394, 2011.
- S. L. Gortmaker, B. A. Swinburn, D. Levy, et al., “Changing the future of obesity: science, policy, and action,” The Lancet, vol. 378, no. 9793, pp. 838–847, 2011.
- R. A. Hammond, “Complex systems modeling for obesity research,” Preventing Chronic Disease, vol. 6, no. 3, p. A97, 2009.
- T. T. Huang, A. Drewnosksi, S. Kumanyika, and T. A. Glass, “A systems-oriented multilevel framework for addressing obesity in the 21st century,” Preventing Chronic Disease, vol. 6, no. 3, p. A82, 2009.
- S. K. Kumanyika, L. Parker, and L. J. Sim, Bridging the Evidence Gap in Obesity Prevention: A Framework to Inform Decision Making, National Academy Press, Washington, DC, USA, 2011.
- D. A. Luke and K. A. Stamatakis, “Systems science methods in public health: dynamics,” Annual Review of Public Health, vol. 33, pp. 357–376, 2012.
- D. T. Levy, P. L. Mabry, Y. C. Wang et al., “Simulation models of obesity: a review of the literature and implications for research and policy,” Obesity Reviews, vol. 12, no. 5, pp. 378–394, 2011.
- D. P. Goldman, Y. H. Zheng, F. Girosi et al., “The benefits of risk factor prevention in Americans aged 51 years and older,” American Journal of Public Health, vol. 99, no. 11, pp. 2096–2101, 2009.
- J. M. Goris, S. Petersen, E. Stamatakis, and J. L. Veerman, “Television food advertising and the prevalence of childhood overweight and obesity: a multicountry comparison,” Public Health Nutrition, vol. 13, no. 7, pp. 1003–1012, 2010.
- J. L. Veerman, E. F. van Beeck, J. J. Barendregt, and J. P. MacKenbach, “By how much would limiting TV food advertising reduce childhood obesity?” European Journal of Public Health, vol. 19, no. 4, pp. 365–369, 2009.
- A. P. Jones, J. B. Homer, D. L. Murphy et al., “Understanding diabetes population dynamics through simulation modeling and experimentation,” American Journal of Public Health, vol. 96, no. 3, pp. 488–494, 2006.
- W. Bemelmans, P. van Baal, W. Wendel-Vos et al., “The costs, effects and cost-effectiveness of counteracting overweight on a population level. A scientific base for policy targets for the Dutch national plan for action,” Preventive Medicine, vol. 46, no. 2, pp. 127–132, 2008.
- T. J. Hoerger, K. A. Hicks, S. W. Sorensen et al., “Cost-effectiveness of screening for pre-diabetes among overweight and obese U.S. adults,” Diabetes Care, vol. 30, no. 11, pp. 2874–2879, 2007.
- T. J. Hoerger, P. Zhang, J. E. Segel, H. S. Kahn, L. E. Barker, and S. Couper, “Cost-effectiveness of bariatric surgery for severely obese adults with diabetes,” Diabetes Care, vol. 33, no. 9, pp. 1933–1939, 2010.
- K. D. Hall, G. Sacks, D. Chandramohan, et al., “Quantification of the effect of energy imbalance on bodyweight,” The Lancet, vol. 378, no. 9793, pp. 826–837, 2011.
- M. D. Fesinmeyer, R. Gulati, S. Zeliadt, N. Weiss, A. R. Kristal, and R. Etzioni, “Effect of population trends in body mass index on prostate cancer incidence and mortality in the United States,” Cancer Epidemiology Biomarkers and Prevention, vol. 18, no. 3, pp. 808–815, 2009.
- C. Y. Kong, K. J. Nattinger, T. J. Hayeck, et al., “The impact of obesity on the rise in esophageal adenocarcinoma incidence: estimates from a disease simulation model,” Cancer Epidemiology Biomarkers & Prevention, vol. 20, no. 11, pp. 2450–2456, 2011.
- E. Losina, R. P. Walensky, W. M. Reichmann et al., “Impact of obesity and knee osteoarthritis on morbidity and mortality in older Americans,” Annals of Internal Medicine, vol. 154, no. 4, pp. 217–226, 2011.
- K. Neovius, F. Rasmussen, J. Sundström, and M. Neovius, “Forecast of future premature mortality as a result of trends in obesity and smoking: nationwide cohort simulation study,” European Journal of Epidemiology, vol. 25, no. 10, pp. 703–709, 2010.
- P. H. M. van Baal, J. J. Polder, G. A. de Wit et al., “Lifetime medical costs of obesity: prevention no cure for increasing health expenditure,” PLoS Medicine, vol. 5, no. 2, pp. 242–249, 2008.
- Y. C. Wang, K. McPherson, T. Marsh, S. L. Gortmaker, and M. Brown, “Health and economic burden of the projected obesity trends in the USA and the UK,” The Lancet, vol. 378, no. 9793, pp. 815–825, 2011.
- D. N. Lakdawalla, D. P. Goldman, and B. Shang, “The health and cost consequences of obesity among the future elderly,” Health Affairs, vol. 24, pp. W5R30–W5R41, 2005.
- K. Bibbins-Domingo, P. Coxson, M. J. Pletcher, J. Lightwood, and L. Goldman, “Adolescent overweight and future adult coronary heart disease,” The New England Journal of Medicine, vol. 357, no. 23, pp. 2371–2379, 2007.
- D. Thompson, J. Edelsberg, G. A. Colditz, A. P. Bird, and G. Oster, “Lifetime health and economic consequences of obesity,” Archives of Internal Medicine, vol. 159, no. 18, pp. 2177–2183, 1999.
- K. L. Edwards and G. P. Clarke, “The design and validation of a spatial microsimulation model of obesogenic environments for children in Leeds, UK: simObesity,” Social Science and Medicine, vol. 69, no. 7, pp. 1127–1134, 2009.
- L. MacDonald, A. Ellaway, K. Ball, and S. MacIntyre, “Is proximity to a food retail store associated with diet and BMI in Glasgow, Scotland?” BMC Public Health, vol. 11, article 464, 2011.
- N. A. Christakis and J. H. Fowler, “The spread of obesity in a large social network over 32 years,” The New England Journal of Medicine, vol. 357, no. 4, pp. 370–379, 2007.
- T. W. Valente, K. Fujimoto, C. P. Chou, and D. Spruijt-Metz, “Adolescent affiliations and adiposity: a social network analysis of friendships and obesity,” Journal of Adolescent Health, vol. 45, no. 2, pp. 202–204, 2009.
- K. K. Miyake, A. R. Maroko, K. L. Grady, J. A. Maantay, and P. S. Arno, “Not just a walk in the park: methodological improvements for determining environmental justice implications of park access in New York City for the promotion of physical activity,” Cities and the Environment, vol. 3, no. 1, pp. 1–17, 2010.
- A. H. Auchincloss, R. L. Riolo, D. G. Brown, J. Cook, and A. V. D. Roux, “An agent-based model of income inequalities in diet in the context of residential segregation,” American Journal of Preventive Medicine, vol. 40, no. 3, pp. 303–311, 2011.
- K. Larsen and J. Gilliland, “Mapping the evolution of “food deserts” in a Canadian city: supermarket accessibility in London, Ontario, 1961–2005,” International Journal of Health Geographics, vol. 7, article 16, 2008.
- A. R. Maroko, J. A. Maantay, N. L. Sohler, K. L. Grady, and P. S. Arno, “The complexities of measuring access to parks and physical activity sites in New York City: a quantitative and qualitative approach,” International Journal of Health Geographics, vol. 8, no. 1, article 34, 2009.
- R. C. Sadler, J. A. Gilliland, and G. Arku, “An application of the edge effect in measuring accessibility to multiple food retailer types in Southwestern Ontario, Canada,” International Journal of Health Geographics, vol. 10, article 34, 2011.
- Y. Yang, A. V. D. Roux, A. H. Auchincloss, D. A. Rodriguez, and D. G. Brown, “A spatial agent-based model for the simulation of adults' daily walking within a city,” American Journal of Preventive Medicine, vol. 40, no. 3, pp. 353–361, 2011.
- S. N. Zenk, A. J. Schulz, S. A. Matthews, et al., “Activity space environment and dietary and physical activity behaviors: a pilot study,” Health & Place, vol. 17, no. 5, pp. 1150–1161, 2011.
- T. K. Abdel-Hamid, Thinking in Circles about Obesity: Applying Systems Thinking to Weight Management, Springer, New York, NY, USA, 2009.
- C. L. Ogden, M. D. Carroll, B. K. Kit, and K. M. Flegal, “Prevalence of obesity and trends in body mass index among US children and adolescents, 1999–2010,” Journal of the American Medical Association, vol. 307, no. 5, pp. 483–490, 2012.
- T. K. Abdel-Hamid, “Modeling the dynamics of human energy regulation and its implications for obesity treatment,” System Dynamics Review, vol. 18, no. 4, pp. 431–471, 2002.
- T. K. Abdel-Hamid, “Exercise and diet in obesity treatment: an integrative system dynamics perspective,” Medicine and Science in Sports and Exercise, vol. 35, no. 3, pp. 400–414, 2003.