Table 3: Results of the model fit and selection criterion.

ModelVariablesDIC Δ D I C

1 ( t t 𝑡 ) 838.579
2 ( t t 𝑡 , 𝑢 𝑟 𝑡 ) 437.690 −400.889
3 ( t t 𝑡 , 𝑣 𝑟 𝑡 ) 438.556 0 . 8 6 6
4 ( t t 𝑡 , 𝑢 𝑟 𝑡 , 𝑣 𝑟 𝑡 ) 437.244 1 . 3 1 2
5 ( t t 𝑡 , 𝑢 𝑟 𝑡 , 𝑣 𝑟 𝑡 , 𝛾 𝑟 𝑡 ) 437.021 0 . 2 2 3
6 ( t t 𝑡 , 𝑢 𝑟 𝑡 , 𝑣 𝑟 𝑡 , 𝛾 𝑟 𝑡 , 𝛽 1 𝑥 𝑟 𝑡 ) 436.642 0 . 3 7 9