A Predictive Spatial Model to Quantify the Risk of Air-Travel-Associated Dengue Importation into the United States and Europe

Table 3

Relative risk of spreading travel acquired dengue infection via international travel routes from endemic countries into (a) Europe and (b) US

(a) Route-based relative risk european countries.

Rank	From	To	Relative Risk
1	Brazil	Germany	1.00
2	Brazil	France	0.99
3	South East Asia	Germany	0.71
4	South East Asia	United Kingdom	0.52
5	Brazil	United Kingdom	0.35
6	South East Asia	France	0.29
7	Vietnam	France	0.29
8	Singapore	United Kingdom	0.27
9	Singapore	Germany	0.19
10	India	Germany	0.19
11	Malaysia	United Kingdom	0.19
12	India	United Kingdom	0.17
13	Dominican Republic	Germany	0.16
14	Venezuela	Germany	0.16
15	Dominican Republic	France	0.16
16	Mexico	France	0.16
17	Mexico	Germany	0.15
18	Venezuela	France	0.15
19	South East Asia	Finland	0.14
20	South East Asia	Sweden	0.13

(b) Route-based relative risk for U.S. states.

Rank	From	To	Relative risk
1	Mexico	Texas	1.00
2	Mexico	California	0.56
3	Puerto Rico	Florida	0.34
4	Brazil	Florida	0.33
5	Venezuela	Florida	0.24
6	Mexico	Illinois	0.23
7	Puerto Rico	New York	0.21
8	Costa Rica	Florida	0.19
9	Mexico	Florida	0.19
10	Mexico	Arizona	0.19
11	Dominican Republic	New York	0.17
12	Colombia	Florida	0.16
13	Brazil	New York	0.15
14	Mexico	Georgia	0.15
15	Dominican Republic	Florida	0.15
16	Brazil	Texas	0.14
17	Brazil	Georgia	0.12
18	Honduras	Florida	0.12
19	Costa Rica	Texas	0.12
20	Mexico	Nevada	0.11