Research Article

Diffusion Pattern and Hotspot Detection of Dengue in Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil

Table 1

Building larval index (BLI) in October larval foci survey, eggs average (EA) in September-October survey, and dengue incidence rates (DIR) per 100,000 inhabitants in subsequent years, by Sanitary District, Belo Horizonte city, 2004–2010.

                          Sanitary District
YearBarreiroSouth centralEastNortheastNorthwestNorthWestPampulhaVenda novaBH

2004Building larval index0.40.30.00.30.30.30.30.30.60.3
Eggs (average)1.91.61.71.93.52.63.62.93.62.6
Dengue incidence rate1.12.62.05.55.62.12.23.52.93.2

2005Building larval index0.50.80.40.50.50.60.90.60.80.6
Eggs (average)3.24.03.33.83.74.67.14.18.64.7
Dengue incidence rate7.66.05.617.981.55.744.346.35.726.1

2006Building larval index1.61.51.42.52.11.11.92.41.61.8
Eggs (average)3.95.35.93.97.42.55.07.16.15.2
Dengue incidence rate29.458.3160.2403.2637.383.1167.1299.4114.5232.4

2007Building larval index0.10.40.40.60.30.20.40.41.00.4
Eggs (average)1.84.13.62.44.85.94.63.85.74.0
Dengue incidence rate45.071.8369.72,545.8477.5529.0139.2528.7217.9558.6

2008Building larval index0.40.70.91.20.90.50.81.41.50.9
Eggs (average)2.42.84.45.48.36.37.04.26.65.2
Dengue incidence rate53.062.8329.6540.8245.12,922.6336.1719.5646.9563.4

2009Building larval index1.41.52.82.42.12.72.32.43.22.3
Eggs (average)11.06.17.79.811.814.114.212.926.212.3
Dengue incidence rate678.1273.31,837.11,823.32,511.94,371.32,316.03,802.25,111.52,375.3

2010Building larval index0.60.61.31.20.71.00.81.60.90.9
Eggs (average)2.73.86.27.86.87.29.38.715.17.3
Dengue incidence rate61.235.369.461.879.7118.343.049.656.863.3

Pearson correlation BLI and DIR: r = 0.59, P < 0.001.
Pearson correlation EA and DIR: r = 0.69, P < 0.001.