Research Article
Set Pair Analysis Based on Phase Space Reconstruction Model and Its Application in Forecasting Extreme Temperature
Table 4
Prediction results and the corresponding relative errors (REs).
| Year | Measured value (0.1/°C) | AR model | BP model | R-SPA model | SPA-PSR model | P (0.1/°C) | RE (%) | P (0.1/°C) | RE (%) | P (0.1/°C) | RE (%) | P (0.1/°C) | RE (%) |
| 2000 | 361 | 325.44 | 9.85 | 338.18 | 6.32 | 313.79 | 13.08 | 331.21 | 8.25 | 2001 | 355 | 310.31 | 12.59 | 312.06 | 12.10 | 334.54 | 5.76 | 317.05 | 10.69 | 2002 | 357 | 320.83 | 10.13 | 324.77 | 9.03 | 338.44 | 5.20 | 354.39 | 0.73 | 2003 | 324 | 310.33 | 4.22 | 278.54 | 14.03 | 350.04 | 8.04 | 345.62 | 6.67 | 2004 | 333 | 323.09 | 2.98 | 323.39 | 2.89 | 351.28 | 5.49 | 345.68 | 3.81 | 2005 | 341 | 325.48 | 4.55 | 280.00 | 17.89 | 365.02 | 7.05 | 335.29 | 1.67 | 2006 | 335 | 320.68 | 4.27 | 322.46 | 3.74 | 327.98 | 2.10 | 344.97 | 2.98 | 2007 | 345 | 328.86 | 4.68 | 346.26 | 0.37 | 343.53 | 0.43 | 367.30 | 6.46 | 2008 | 379 | 327.16 | 13.68 | 321.26 | 15.23 | 328.10 | 13.43 | 336.75 | 11.15 | 2009 | 360 | 310.04 | 13.88 | 332.43 | 7.66 | 347.50 | 3.47 | 326.48 | 9.31 | 2010 | 392 | 310.39 | 20.82 | 321.35 | 18.02 | 332.37 | 15.21 | 351.54 | 10.32 |
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