Research Article
First-Order ARMA Type Fuzzy Time Series Method Based on Fuzzy Logic Relation Tables
Table 3
The best results obtained for 7-observation test set of IMKB data.
| Date | Test set | Song and Chissom [1] | Chen [5] | Chen [6] | Huarng [11] distribution-based method | Huarng [11] average-based method |
Huarng and Yu [13] rational-based method | Aladag et al. [8] | Proposed method* |
| 15.12.2010 | 65499 | 65356 | 66550 | 65900.0 | 67400 | 66500 | 66784.7 | 67300 | 66266.7 | 16.12.2010 | 64429 | 65356 | 66250 | 65900.0 | 65400 | 66300 | 66178.0 | 64900 | 63700.0 | 17.12.2010 | 63524 | 65975 | 64450 | 64800.0 | 65900 | 64500 | 65878.7 | 64900 | 63700.0 | 20.12.2010 | 63502 | 64737 | 63550 | 64066.7 | 64900 | 63500 | 63514.3 | 64300 | 63700.0 | 21.12.2010 | 64820 | 64737 | 63550 | 63700.0 | 64900 | 63500 | 63514.3 | 63700 | 65900.0 | 22.12.2010 | 65440 | 65975 | 65800 | 64800.0 | 65900 | 65500 | 65878.7 | 65500 | 65900.0 | 23.12.2010 | 66219 | 65356 | 66250 | 65900.0 | 65400 | 66300 | 66178.0 | 66700 | 66266.7 |
| | RMSE | 1161.91 | 1001.70 | 928.70 | 1365.14 | 1014.73 | 1317.77 | 1034.06 | 606.07 | | MAPE | 0.01387 | 0.01217 | 0.01283 | 0.01773 | 0.01175 | 0.01593 | 0.01350 | 0.00762 | | DA | 0.50000 | 0.50000 | 0.33333 | 0.50000 | 0.50000 | 0.66667 | 0.66667 | 0.83333 |
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The best situation.
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