Autoregressive Prediction with Rolling Mechanism for Time Series Forecasting with Small Sample Size

Table 8

ARPE of the Chinese annual GDP prediction results (%).

ARPE	ARPRM	GM(1,1) model	GM(1,1); rolling model	AR model with; linear interpolation
𝑡=15	5.77	23.22	23.22	1.83
𝑡=16	7.61	31.53	32.50	10.18