Research Article

Microstructure Models with Short-Term Inertia and Stochastic Volatility

Table 8

Bayes factor for model determination, April 2010.

Heston GARCH Log O-U HW GBM

PEP ( hrs, ) 27.30 25.23 21.31 17.04 6.08
GS (1/2 day, ) 19.14 18.91 18.77 18.59 10.18
IBM (1/2 day, ) 49.94 45.43 40.75 37.07 16.16

PEP ( hrs, ) 1.08 1.07 1.06 1.04 1.00
GS (1/2 day, ) 1.06 1.04 1.06 1.06 1.00
IBM (1/2 day, ) 1.06 1.04 1.06 1.03 1.00

Without dynamics.