Research Article
Hybrid Models Based on Singular Values and Autoregressive Methods for Multistep Ahead Forecasting of Traffic Accidents
Table 2
Multistep ahead prediction—average results, MNSE, and
.
| (week) | (%) | (%) | SSA-AR | SSA-ANN | HSVD-AR | HSVD-ANN | SSA-AR | SSA-ANN | HSVD-AR | HSVD-ANN |
| 1 | 99.5 | 99.4 | 96.4 | 95.7 | 99.9 | 99.9 | 99.9 | 99.8 | 2 | 98.8 | 98.7 | 94.6 | 93.1 | 99.9 | 99.9 | 99.7 | 99.6 | 3 | 97.9 | 97.6 | 93.2 | 90.9 | 99.9 | 99.9 | 99.6 | 99.3 | 4 | 96.9 | 96.7 | 91.7 | 89.2 | 99.9 | 99.9 | 99.4 | 98.9 | 5 | 95.8 | 95.3 | 90.6 | 86.9 | 99.8 | 99.8 | 99.2 | 98.6 | 6 | 94.6 | 93.6 | 89.4 | 85.2 | 99.7 | 99.7 | 99.0 | 98.3 | 7 | 93.4 | 92.6 | 88.2 | 83.5 | 99.6 | 99.5 | 98.8 | 97.7 | 8 | 92.2 | 91.3 | 87.5 | 81.9 | 99.4 | 99.3 | 98.6 | 97.4 | 9 | 90.9 | 89.4 | 87.4 | 80.2 | 99.2 | 99.1 | 98.5 | 97.5 | 10 | 89.6 | 87.9 | 87.4 | 81.7 | 99.0 | 98.8 | 98.5 | 97.6 | 11 | 88.4 | 86.3 | 87.6 | 82.2 | 98.8 | 98.5 | 98.6 | 97.2 | 12 | 87.2 | 84.5 | 88.6 | 86.6 | 98.5 | 98.2 | 98.7 | 98.5 | 13 | 86.2 | 77.3 | 89.0 | 83.4 | 98.3 | 96.7 | 98.9 | 97.9 | 14 | 85.3 | 73.9 | 90.5 | 77.3 | 98.1 | 95.9 | 99.1 | 96.6 |
| Min | 85.3 | 73.9 | 87.4 | 77.4 | 98.1 | 95.9 | 98.5 | 96.6 | Max | 99.5 | 99.4 | 96.4 | 95.7 | 99.9 | 99.9 | 99.9 | 99.8 | Mean 1–14 steps | 92.6 | 90.3 | 90.1 | 85.6 | 99.3 | 98.9 | 99.0 | 98.2 | Mean 12–14 steps | 86.2 | 78.6 | 89.4 | 82.4 | 98.3 | 96.9 | 98.9 | 97.7 |
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