Mathematical Problems in Engineering http://www.hindawi.com The latest articles from Hindawi Publishing Corporation © 2016 , Hindawi Publishing Corporation . All rights reserved. Approximation of Linear Elastic Shells by Curved Triangular Finite Elements Based on Elastic Thick Shells Theory Mon, 29 Aug 2016 16:50:00 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/8936075/ We have developed a curved finite element for a cylindrical thick shell based on the thick shell equations established in 1999 by Nzengwa and Tagne (N-T). The displacement field of the shell is interpolated from nodal displacements only and strains assumption. Numerical results on a cylindrical thin shell are compared with those of other well-known benchmarks with satisfaction. Convergence is rapidly obtained with very few elements. A scaling was processed on the cylindrical thin shell by increasing the ratio (half the thickness over the smallest radius in absolute value) and comparing results with those obtained with the classical Kirchhoff-Love thin shell theory; it appears that results diverge at because of the significant energy contribution of the change of the third fundamental form found in N-T model. This limit value of the thickness ratio which characterizes the limit between thin and thick cylindrical shells differs from the ratio 0.4 proposed by Leissa and 0.5 proposed by Narita and Leissa. Joseph Nkongho Anyi, Robert Nzengwa, Jean Chills Amba, and Claude Valery Abbe Ngayihi Copyright © 2016 Joseph Nkongho Anyi et al. All rights reserved. Optimal Buyer’s Replenishment Policy in the Integrated Inventory Model for Imperfect Items Mon, 29 Aug 2016 16:29:15 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/5382329/ In the classical economic order quantity (EOQ) models, a common unrealistic assumption is that all the items received are of good quality. However, in realistic environment, a received shipment usually contains a fraction of imperfect quality items. These imperfect items may be scrapped, reworked at a cost, or salvaged at a discounted price. While the percentage of imperfect items is random, the optimal ordering cycle is rarely considered in current literatures. This paper revisits the model (Maddah and Jaber, 2008) and extends it by assuming that the ordering cycle is determined by the demand rate, delivery quantity per shipment, and the mathematical expectation of the defective rate. The possibility of stockout or residue in the end of a cycle will be considered, and the loss of stockout and the salvage of the residue are counted into the cost. Besides, we consider consolidating the shipments of imperfect items over multiple deliveries. Thus, an integrated vendor-buyer inventory model for imperfect quality items with equal-size shipment policy is established to derive the optimal ordering cycle, ordering quantity, and number of deliveries. The computational method of the optimal delivery quantity per shipment and number of deliveries is given through theoretical results. Finally, sensitivity of main parameters is analyzed through simulation experiments and shown by some figures. Lu Yueli, Mo Jiangtao, and Wei Yucheng Copyright © 2016 Lu Yueli et al. All rights reserved. Short-Term Load Forecasting Model Based on Quantum Elman Neural Networks Mon, 29 Aug 2016 12:36:00 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/7910971/ Short-term load forecasting model based on quantum Elman neural networks was constructed in this paper. The quantum computation and Elman feedback mechanism were integrated into quantum Elman neural networks. Quantum computation can effectively improve the approximation capability and the information processing ability of the neural networks. Quantum Elman neural networks have not only the feedforward connection but also the feedback connection. The feedback connection between the hidden nodes and the context nodes belongs to the state feedback in the internal system, which has formed specific dynamic memory performance. Phase space reconstruction theory is the theoretical basis of constructing the forecasting model. The training samples are formed by means of -nearest neighbor approach. Through the example simulation, the testing results show that the model based on quantum Elman neural networks is better than the model based on the quantum feedforward neural network, the model based on the conventional Elman neural network, and the model based on the conventional feedforward neural network. So the proposed model can effectively improve the prediction accuracy. The research in the paper makes a theoretical foundation for the practical engineering application of the short-term load forecasting model based on quantum Elman neural networks. Zhisheng Zhang and Wenjie Gong Copyright © 2016 Zhisheng Zhang and Wenjie Gong. All rights reserved. Dynamic Game Analysis of Coal Electricity Market Involving Multi-Interests Mon, 29 Aug 2016 11:15:14 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/7508513/ The coal consumption of China reached 2.75 billion tons of standard coal in 2013, which accounted for 67.5% of total energy consumption and more than 50% of global coal consumption. Therefore, the impact of coal price is huge on coal market and even energy market in China. As a large consumer of coal, thermal power enterprise has a strong sensitivity to coal price. In order to balance the rising cost of enterprises due to coal price, we need to analyze the interests of multiple stakeholders. Firstly, this paper combined the Nash equilibrium and cobweb model and proposed the characteristics in different cobweb model. Then, for coal, power, and energy companies, the dynamic game analysis model is constructed. This model gives a game analysis in four scenarios and quantifies the decision of each stakeholder in different coal prices. Finally, the impact figure of different coal prices on each stakeholder has been drawn. The impacts of different coal or thermal power prices on different markets have been put forward, so relevant policy recommendations have been proposed combined with the cobweb model. Yu Xiaobao, Tan Zhongfu, Chen Kangting, and He Puyu Copyright © 2016 Yu Xiaobao et al. All rights reserved. A Cartoon-Texture Decomposition Based Multiplicative Noise Removal Method Mon, 29 Aug 2016 09:48:33 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/5130346/ We propose a new frame for multiplicative noise removal. To improve the multiplicative denoising performance, we add the regularization of texture component in the denoising model, designing a multiscale multiplicative noise removal model. The proposed model is jointly convex and can be easily solved by optimization algorithms. We introduce Douglas-Rachford splitting method to solve the proposed model. In the algorithm, we make full use of some important proximity operators, which have closed expression or can be executed in one time iteration. In particular, the proximity of norm is deduced, which is just the Fourier domain filtering. In the process of simulation experiments, we first analyze and select the needed parameters and then test the experiments on several images using the designed algorithm and the given parameters. Finally, we compare the denoising performance of the proposed model with the existing models, in which the signal to noise ratio (SNR) and the peak signal to noise ratios (PSNRs) are applied to evaluate the noise suppressing effects. Experimental results demonstrate that the designed algorithms can solve the model perfectly and the recovery images of the proposed model have higher SNRs/PSNRs and better visual quality. Chenping Zhao, Xiangchu Feng, Weiwei Wang, and Huazhu Chen Copyright © 2016 Chenping Zhao et al. All rights reserved. Vertical Track Irregularity Influence on the Wheel High-Frequency Vibration in Wheel-Rail System Mon, 29 Aug 2016 09:27:53 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/5082319/ A three-dimensional deformable finite element model of wheel-rail system is established. The vertical vibration natural frequencies are calculated by modal analysis. The improved central difference method by ABAQUS explicit nonlinear dynamics module is chosen to calculate the vertical vibration of wheel axle. Through the vibration measurement experiment of wheel by China Academy of Railway Sciences, the contact parameter is optimized and the model is modified. According to the nonlinear simulation results, the important influence of vertical track irregularity on the wheel set high-frequency vibration is discovered. The advantage frequencies through spectrum are close to the vertical vibration natural frequencies of seventh, eighth, ninth, and tenth mode. When the velocity is 350 km/h, system’s nonlinear dynamic characteristic is higher than the results at 200 km/h. The critical wavelength of vertical track irregularity on the wheel vertical vibration is about 0.8 m. In addition, a particular attention should be paid to one situation that the main dominant frequency amplitude is more than 50% of the acceleration amplitude even if the peak acceleration is low. Yang Lei, Xinyu Tian, Falin Qi, Dongsheng Chen, and Tian Tian Copyright © 2016 Yang Lei et al. All rights reserved. Model of Transient Process Where Three-Phase Transducer Feeds Induction Motor Equivalent as a Variable Active-Inductive Load Mon, 29 Aug 2016 08:48:15 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/6740261/ The paper presents a new approach in the analysis of a transient state in a system where the feeding source is a transducer-IGBT inverter and load is introduced through the induction motor with its parameters. Induction motors with different parameters of powers and power factors are tested. MATLAB simulation of the three-phase inverter that feeds the induction machine has replaced the missing lab equipment with which mathematical model of this system was verified. According to the selected parameters of the inverter and induction machine and through the simulation in the MATLAB program, the results are obtained in the form of diagrams that verify the model of a transient state of the induction machine operation when it operates as a motor which is presented as a variable load. The transient process of the system three-phase bridge inverter whose active-inductive load is the induction machine in the conditions of the change of the load parameters is analyzed. The model of the transient process in the system formed by the inverter in PWM (Pulse Width Modulation) converter and induction machine is developed in the time domain and phase coordinates. Nenad Marković, Slobodan Bjelić, Jeroslav Živanić, Violeta Milićević, and Zoran Milićević Copyright © 2016 Nenad Marković et al. All rights reserved. Cooperative Strategies for Maximum-Flow Problem in Uncertain Decentralized Systems Using Reliability Analysis Mon, 29 Aug 2016 08:44:30 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/2349712/ This study investigates a multiowner maximum-flow network problem, which suffers from risky events. Uncertain conditions effect on proper estimation and ignoring them may mislead decision makers by overestimation. A key question is how self-governing owners in the network can cooperate with each other to maintain a reliable flow. Hence, the question is answered by providing a mathematical programming model based on applying the triangular reliability function in the decentralized networks. The proposed method concentrates on multiowner networks which suffer from risky time, cost, and capacity parameters for each network’s arcs. Some cooperative game methods such as -value, Shapley, and core center are presented to fairly distribute extra profit of cooperation. A numerical example including sensitivity analysis and the results of comparisons are presented. Indeed, the proposed method provides more reality in decision-making for risky systems, hence leading to significant profits in terms of real cost estimation when compared with unforeseen effects. Hadi Heidari Gharehbolagh, Ashkan Hafezalkotob, Ahmad Makui, and Sadigh Raissi Copyright © 2016 Hadi Heidari Gharehbolagh et al. All rights reserved. A Novel STAP Algorithm for Airborne MIMO Radar Based on Temporally Correlated Multiple Sparse Bayesian Learning Mon, 29 Aug 2016 06:52:57 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/3986903/ In a heterogeneous environment, to efficiently suppress clutter with only one snapshot, a novel STAP algorithm for multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) radar based on sparse representation, referred to as MIMOSR-STAP in this paper, is presented. By exploiting the waveform diversity of MIMO radar, each snapshot at the tested range cell can be transformed into multisnapshots for the phased array radar, which can estimate the high-resolution space-time spectrum by using multiple measurement vectors (MMV) technique. The proposed approach is effective in estimating the spectrum by utilizing Temporally Correlated Multiple Sparse Bayesian Learning (TMSBL). In the sequel, the clutter covariance matrix (CCM) and the corresponding adaptive weight vector can be efficiently obtained. MIMOSR-STAP enjoys high accuracy and robustness so that it can achieve better performance of output signal-to-clutter-plus-noise ratio (SCNR) and minimum detectable velocity (MDV) than the single measurement vector sparse representation methods in the literature. Thus, MIMOSR-STAP can deal with badly inhomogeneous clutter scenario more effectively, especially suitable for insufficient independent and identically distributed (IID) samples environment. Hanwei Liu, Yongshun Zhang, Yiduo Guo, Qiang Wang, and Yifeng Wu Copyright © 2016 Hanwei Liu et al. All rights reserved. A Grey Theory Based Approach to Big Data Risk Management Using FMEA Sun, 28 Aug 2016 13:35:21 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/9175418/ Big data is the term used to denote enormous sets of data that differ from other classic databases in four main ways: (huge) volume, (high) velocity, (much greater) variety, and (big) value. In general, data are stored in a distributed fashion and on computing nodes as a result of which big data may be more susceptible to attacks by hackers. This paper presents a risk model for big data, which comprises Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA) and Grey Theory, more precisely grey relational analysis. This approach has several advantages: it provides a structured approach in order to incorporate the impact of big data risk factors; it facilitates the assessment of risk by breaking down the overall risk to big data; and finally its efficient evaluation criteria can help enterprises reduce the risks associated with big data. In order to illustrate the applicability of our proposal in practice, a numerical example, with realistic data based on expert knowledge, was developed. The numerical example analyzes four dimensions, that is, managing identification and access, registering the device and application, managing the infrastructure, and data governance, and 20 failure modes concerning the vulnerabilities of big data. The results show that the most important aspect of risk to big data relates to data governance. Maisa Mendonça Silva, Thiago Poleto, Lúcio Camara e Silva, Ana Paula Henriques de Gusmao, and Ana Paula Cabral Seixas Costa Copyright © 2016 Maisa Mendonça Silva et al. All rights reserved. A Hybrid Algorithm Based on Particle Swarm Optimization and Artificial Immune for an Assembly Job Shop Scheduling Problem Sun, 28 Aug 2016 12:44:50 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/3938679/ To produce the final product, parts need to be fabricated in the process stages and thereafter several parts are joined under the assembly operations based on the predefined bill of materials. But assembly relationship between the assembly parts and components has not been considered in general job shop scheduling problem model. The aim of this research is to find the schedule which minimizes completion time of Assembly Job Shop Scheduling Problem (AJSSP). Since the complexity of AJSSP is NP-hard, a hybrid particle swarm optimization (HPSO) algorithm integrated PSO with Artificial Immune is proposed and developed to solve AJSSP. The selection strategy based on antibody density makes the particles of HPSO maintain the diversity during the iterative process, thus overcoming the defect of premature convergence. Then HPSO algorithm is applied into a case study development from classical FT06. Finally, the effect of key parameters on the proposed algorithm is analyzed and discussed regarding how to select the parameters. The experiment result confirmed its practice and effectiveness. Hui Du, Dacheng Liu, and Mian-hao Zhang Copyright © 2016 Hui Du et al. All rights reserved. A New Reversible Date-Hiding Algorithm for Encrypted Images Sun, 28 Aug 2016 11:53:00 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/4313580/ In order to effectively increase embedding capacity and completely extract the watermarking information in information hiding of encrypted images, a new reversible watermarking embedding algorithm based on rhombus prediction model and difference histogram shifting ideas is proposed. Firstly, the images are pretreated according to rhombus prediction model. Then, the watermarking information is embedded in encrypted images by effective combination of homomorphism encryption scheme and reversible watermarking techniques. Finally, the watermarking information is completely extracted and the images are recovered based on computed difference histogram from left to right and from top to bottom. So, the efficiency and reversibility are ensured when watermarking information is embedded in encrypted image. Experiment results show that the proposed algorithm is simple and easy to realize, the embedding capacity is effectively increased, watermarking information is completely reversible, and the image can be recovered with no distortion. Laicheng Cao and Hao Zhou Copyright © 2016 Laicheng Cao and Hao Zhou. All rights reserved. Chinese Stock Index Futures Price Fluctuation Analysis and Prediction Based on Complementary Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition Sun, 28 Aug 2016 11:39:12 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/3791504/ Since the CSI 300 index futures officially began trading on April 15, 2010, analysis and predictions of the price fluctuations of Chinese stock index futures prices have become a popular area of active research. In this paper, the Complementary Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (CEEMD) method is used to decompose the sequences of Chinese stock index futures prices into residue terms, low-frequency terms, and high-frequency terms to reveal the fluctuation characteristics over different time scales of the sequences. Then, the CEEMD method is combined with the Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm-based Support Vector Machine (SVM) model to forecast Chinese stock index futures prices. The empirical results show that the residue term determines the long-term trend of stock index futures prices. The low-frequency term, which represents medium-term price fluctuations, is mainly affected by policy regulations under the analysis of the Iterated Cumulative Sums of Squares (ICSS) algorithm, whereas short-term market disequilibrium, which is represented by the high-frequency term, plays an important local role in stock index futures price fluctuations. In addition, in forecasting the daily or even intraday price data of Chinese stock index futures, the combination prediction model is superior to the single SVM model, which implies that the accuracy of predicting Chinese stock index futures prices will be improved by considering fluctuation characteristics in different time scales. Ruoyang Chen and Bin Pan Copyright © 2016 Ruoyang Chen and Bin Pan. All rights reserved. Variational Histogram Equalization for Single Color Image Defogging Thu, 25 Aug 2016 17:11:22 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/9897064/ Foggy images taken in the bad weather inevitably suffer from contrast loss and color distortion. Existing defogging methods merely resort to digging out an accurate scene transmission in ignorance of their unpleasing distortion and high complexity. Different from previous works, we propose a simple but powerful method based on histogram equalization and the physical degradation model. By revising two constraints in a variational histogram equalization framework, the intensity component of a fog-free image can be estimated in HSI color space, since the airlight is inferred through a color attenuation prior in advance. To cut down the time consumption, a general variation filter is proposed to obtain a numerical solution from the revised framework. After getting the estimated intensity component, it is easy to infer the saturation component from the physical degradation model in saturation channel. Accordingly, the fog-free image can be restored with the estimated intensity and saturation components. In the end, the proposed method is tested on several foggy images and assessed by two no-reference indexes. Experimental results reveal that our method is relatively superior to three groups of relevant and state-of-the-art defogging methods. Li Zhou, Du Yan Bi, and Lin Yuan He Copyright © 2016 Li Zhou et al. All rights reserved. The Robot Path Planning Based on Improved Artificial Fish Swarm Algorithm Thu, 25 Aug 2016 17:01:55 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/3297585/ Path planning is critical to the efficiency and fidelity of robot navigation. The solution of robot path planning is to seek a collision-free and the shortest path from the start node to target node. In this paper, we propose a new improved artificial fish swarm algorithm (IAFSA) to process the mobile robot path planning problem in a real environment. In IAFSA, an attenuation function is introduced to improve the visual of standard AFSA and get the balance of global search and local search; also, an adaptive operator is introduced to enhance the adaptive ability of step. Besides, a concept of inertia weight factor is proposed in IAFSA inspired by PSO intelligence algorithm to improve the convergence rate and accuracy of IAFSA. Five unconstrained optimization test functions are given to illustrate the strong searching ability and ideal convergence of IAFSA. Finally, the ROS (robot operation system) based experiment is carried out on a Pioneer 3-DX mobile robot; the experiment results also show the superiority of IAFSA. Yi Zhang, Guolun Guan, and Xingchen Pu Copyright © 2016 Yi Zhang et al. All rights reserved. A Temperature Compensation Model for Low Cost Quartz Accelerometers and Its Application in Tilt Sensing Thu, 25 Aug 2016 16:03:20 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/2950376/ Although the quartz accelerometer has made great advances, the performance, in some specific applications such as tilt sensing, needs to be well compensated in high temperature environment. Based on the high temperature testing of low cost quartz accelerometers, we found that the normalized positive and negative parts are asymmetrical at high temperature and the temperature curve of zero sensor output is related to the roll angle of the sensor. Traditional temperature compensation method only considers the temperature factor and ignores the roll sensitivity, which leads to deteriorated accuracy. To solve this problem, this paper proposes a novel and simple mathematical model to obtain a more accurate expression of zero sensor output, which makes the sensor output more robust at high temperature. Experimental results on two low cost quartz accelerometers demonstrate that the proposed model is feasible and effective, which could reduce the temperature drift error of the sensor output typically from 0.01 g to 0.001 g. Furthermore, we introduce the compensated sensors in the three-axis inclinometer system for tilt sensing, and the evaluation results show that the temperature drift error of the inclination in the range (, ) is reduced typically from to compared to the traditional method. Weibin Yang, Bin Fang, Yuan Yan Tang, and Xudong Qin Copyright © 2016 Weibin Yang et al. All rights reserved. Efficient Load Balancing Using Active Replica Management in a Storage System Thu, 25 Aug 2016 14:26:00 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/4751829/ Many algorithms can uniformly distribute data to storage nodes in a storage system. However, it cannot avoid load imbalance because data has different popularity. To resolve this issue, we propose a novel dynamic replication scheme, namely, Active Replica Management (ARM). ARM actively establishes optimal number of copies for hotspot data according to data access behaviors and then efficiently distributes copies to other storage nodes based on current amount of copies related to hotspot data. To improve storage utilization, ARM automatically and gradually dereplicates the useless copies of hotspot data when they become nonhotspot data. ARM resolves load imbalance by allocating dynamic copies to adequate storage nodes, and hence it can prevent partial storage nodes from overburdening. Simulation results demonstrate that ARM is an efficient scheme with excellent performance on load balancing, significantly closer to Optimal Load Balancing (OLB). In addition, ARM’s performance outperforms both Static Load Balancing (SLB) and No Replica schemes. Jui-Pin Yang Copyright © 2016 Jui-Pin Yang. All rights reserved. Method of Quantitative Analysis for Multirobot Cooperative Hunting Behaviors Thu, 25 Aug 2016 13:02:28 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/4370635/ The kinematic behavior of mobile robots can be represented as functions of time. During the operation of a multirobot system, the orbit of a special robot is recorded. The embedding dimension and the delay time are chosen based on the correlation integral method. A chaotic attractor equivalent to the original system is reconstructed in phase space. The multirobot system can be adequately described based on the phase space information, and the dynamic system states can be forecast based on this information. The eigenvalues of the attractor are calculated including the maximum Lyapunov exponent and correlation dimension. The robot collective behavior is described and analyzed quantitatively based on the eigenvalues. The critical factor that affects the interaction of robots is investigated based on quantified parameters. Our analysis results can be used to improve the understanding of robot interaction mechanisms. Yong Song, Chengjin Zhang, and Hai Liu Copyright © 2016 Yong Song et al. All rights reserved. Incoherent Dictionary Learning Method Based on Unit Norm Tight Frame and Manifold Optimization for Sparse Representation Thu, 25 Aug 2016 09:47:05 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/9407503/ Optimizing the mutual coherence of a learned dictionary plays an important role in sparse representation and compressed sensing. In this paper, a efficient framework is developed to learn an incoherent dictionary for sparse representation. In particular, the coherence of a previous dictionary (or Gram matrix) is reduced sequentially by finding a new dictionary (or Gram matrix), which is closest to the reference unit norm tight frame of the previous dictionary (or Gram matrix). The optimization problem can be solved by restricting the tightness and coherence alternately at each iteration of the algorithm. The significant and different aspect of our proposed framework is that the learned dictionary can approximate an equiangular tight frame. Furthermore, manifold optimization is used to avoid the degeneracy of sparse representation while only reducing the coherence of the learned dictionary. This can be performed after the dictionary update process rather than during the dictionary update process. Experiments on synthetic and real audio data show that our proposed methods give notable improvements in lower coherence, have faster running times, and are extremely robust compared to several existing methods. HongZhong Tang, Xiaogang Zhang, Hua Chen, Ling Zhu, Xiang Wang, and Xiao Li Copyright © 2016 HongZhong Tang et al. All rights reserved. Dynamic Hedging Based on Fractional Order Stochastic Model with Memory Effect Thu, 25 Aug 2016 09:45:30 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/6817483/ Many researchers have established various hedge models to get the optimal hedge ratio. However, most of the hedge models only discuss the discrete-time processes. In this paper, we construct the minimum variance model for the estimation of the optimal hedge ratio based on the stochastic differential equation. At the same time, also by considering memory effects, we establish the continuous-time hedge model with memory based on the fractional order stochastic differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion to estimate the optimal dynamic hedge ratio. In addition, we carry on the empirical analysis to examine the effectiveness of our proposed hedge models from both in-sample test and out-of-sample test. Qing Li, Yanli Zhou, Xinquan Zhao, and Xiangyu Ge Copyright © 2016 Qing Li et al. All rights reserved. Based on Fuzzy Bayesian Network of Oil Wharf Handling Risk Assessment Wed, 24 Aug 2016 13:46:26 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/6532691/ In order to make the risk assessment method of oil wharf handling more reasonable, basic data calibration method more accurate, and assessment findings more objective, the fuzzy weights of the relative probability of basic events are calibrated by ANP decision-making (Analytic Network Process). ANP decision-making is appropriate for reflecting the dependence between the basic events and the feedback relationship. The calibration value is used as the probability value of each basic event. Based on the fault tree model, the relationship between the accidents caused by the Bayesian network is constructed, and the important degree of the basic events is quantitatively evaluated. The case focuses on wharf handling gasoline fire and explosions, using ANP method to calibrate probability, and analyzing and sorting the structural importance, the probability importance, and critical degree of each basic event through forward and backward reasoning. The results showed that the evaluation model can better characterize the effect of the basic events on the top events, which can be targeted to identify security weaknesses in oil wharf handling process. It has some practical significance for finding security risks and improving working conditions and the overall system safety level. Zhiqiang Hou and Peng Zhao Copyright © 2016 Zhiqiang Hou and Peng Zhao. All rights reserved. A Novel Fused Optimization Algorithm of Genetic Algorithm and Ant Colony Optimization Wed, 24 Aug 2016 13:06:21 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/2167413/ A novel fused algorithm that delivers the benefits of both genetic algorithms (GAs) and ant colony optimization (ACO) is proposed to solve the supplier selection problem. The proposed method combines the evolutionary effect of GAs and the cooperative effect of ACO. A GA with a great global converging rate aims to produce an initial optimum for allocating initial pheromones of ACO. An ACO with great parallelism and effective feedback is then served to obtain the optimal solution. In this paper, the approach has been applied to the supplier selection problem. By conducting a numerical experiment, parameters of ACO are optimized using a traditional method and another hybrid algorithm of a GA and ACO, and the results of the supplier selection problem demonstrate the quality and efficiency improvement of the novel fused method with optimal parameters, verifying its feasibility and effectiveness. Adopting a fused algorithm of a GA and ACO to solve the supplier selection problem is an innovative solution that presents a clear methodological contribution to optimization algorithm research and can serve as a practical approach and management reference for various companies. FuTao Zhao, Zhong Yao, Jing Luan, and Xin Song Copyright © 2016 FuTao Zhao et al. All rights reserved. An Improved Artificial Colony Algorithm Model for Forecasting Chinese Electricity Consumption and Analyzing Effect Mechanism Wed, 24 Aug 2016 08:54:48 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/8496971/ Electricity consumption forecast is perceived to be a growing hot topic in such a situation that China’s economy has entered a period of new normal and the demand of electric power has slowed down. Therefore, exploring Chinese electricity consumption influence mechanism and forecasting electricity consumption are crucial to formulate electrical energy plan scientifically and guarantee the sustainable economic and social development. Research has identified medium and long term electricity consumption forecast as a difficult study influenced by various factors. This paper proposed an improved Artificial Bee Colony (ABC) algorithm which combined with multivariate linear regression (MLR) for exploring the influencing mechanism of various factors on Chinese electricity consumption and forecasting electricity consumption in the future. The results indicated that the improved ABC algorithm in view of the various factors is superior to traditional models just considering unilateralism in accuracy and persuasion. The overall findings cast light on this model which provides a new scientific and effective way to forecast the medium and long term electricity consumption. Jingmin Wang, Jian Zhang, and Jing Nie Copyright © 2016 Jingmin Wang et al. All rights reserved. Stabilization of Networked Control Systems with Induced Delays and Actuator Saturation Tue, 23 Aug 2016 17:22:24 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/4208712/ The problem of state feedback stabilization is studied for networked control systems (NCSs) subject to actuator saturation and network-induced delays. To facilitate the controller design, the NCSs are modeled as a class of discrete-time systems with bounded delays and input saturation. Based on Lyapunov-Krasovskii theory and free weighting matrix approach, the sufficient condition is derived in terms of linear matrix inequality for the asymptotic stability. Finally, the effectiveness of the developed control approach is proved through numerical examples. Luo Zhang, Mou Chen, Qingxian Wu, and Bei Wu Copyright © 2016 Luo Zhang et al. All rights reserved. Multiple Model-Based Synchronization Approaches for Time Delayed Slaving Data in a Space Launch Vehicle Tracking System Tue, 23 Aug 2016 17:03:49 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/9319282/ Due to the inherent characteristics of the flight mission of a space launch vehicle (SLV), which is required to fly over very large distances and have very high fault tolerances, in general, SLV tracking systems (TSs) comprise multiple heterogeneous sensors such as radars, GPS, INS, and electrooptical targeting systems installed over widespread areas. To track an SLV without interruption and to hand over the measurement coverage between TSs properly, the mission control system (MCS) transfers slaving data to each TS through mission networks. When serious network delays occur, however, the slaving data from the MCS can lead to the failure of the TS. To address this problem, in this paper, we propose multiple model-based synchronization (MMS) approaches, which take advantage of the multiple motion models of an SLV. Cubic spline extrapolation, prediction through an α-β-γ filter, and a single model Kalman filter are presented as benchmark approaches. We demonstrate the synchronization accuracy and effectiveness of the proposed MMS approaches using the Monte Carlo simulation with the nominal trajectory data of Korea Space Launch Vehicle-I. Haryong Song and Yongtae Choi Copyright © 2016 Haryong Song and Yongtae Choi. All rights reserved. A Risk-Based Interval Two-Stage Programming Model for Agricultural System Management under Uncertainty Tue, 23 Aug 2016 17:02:25 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/7438913/ Nonpoint source (NPS) pollution caused by agricultural activities is main reason that water quality in watershed becomes worse, even leading to deterioration. Moreover, pollution control is accompanied with revenue’s fall for agricultural system. How to design and generate a cost-effective and environmentally friendly agricultural production pattern is a critical issue for local managers. In this study, a risk-based interval two-stage programming model (RBITSP) was developed. Compared to general ITSP model, significant contribution made by RBITSP model was that it emphasized importance of financial risk under various probabilistic levels, rather than only being concentrated on expected economic benefit, where risk is expressed as the probability of not meeting target profit under each individual scenario realization. This way effectively avoided solutions’ inaccuracy caused by traditional expected objective function and generated a variety of solutions through adjusting weight coefficients, which reflected trade-off between system economy and reliability. A case study of agricultural production management with the Tai Lake watershed was used to demonstrate superiority of proposed model. Obtained results could be a base for designing land-structure adjustment patterns and farmland retirement schemes and realizing balance of system benefit, system-failure risk, and water-body protection. Ye Xu and Guohe Huang Copyright © 2016 Ye Xu and Guohe Huang. All rights reserved. A Predictive Neural Network-Based Cascade Control for pH Reactors Tue, 23 Aug 2016 16:27:32 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/5638632/ This paper is concerned with the development of predictive neural network-based cascade control for pH reactors. The cascade structure consists of a master control loop (fuzzy proportional-integral) and a slave one (predictive neural network). The master loop is chosen to be more accurate but slower than the slave one. The strong features found in cascade structure have been added to the inherent features in model predictive neural network. The neural network is used to alleviate modeling difficulties found with pH reactor and to predict its behavior. The parameters of predictive algorithm are determined using an optimization algorithm. The effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed design have been demonstrated using MatLab. Mujahed AlDhaifallah, Shebel Alsabbah, and Iqbal Mujtaba Copyright © 2016 Mujahed AlDhaifallah et al. All rights reserved. A Weighted Block Dictionary Learning Algorithm for Classification Tue, 23 Aug 2016 13:38:33 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/3824027/ Discriminative dictionary learning, playing a critical role in sparse representation based classification, has led to state-of-the-art classification results. Among the existing discriminative dictionary learning methods, two different approaches, shared dictionary and class-specific dictionary, which associate each dictionary atom to all classes or a single class, have been studied. The shared dictionary is a compact method but with lack of discriminative information; the class-specific dictionary contains discriminative information but consists of redundant atoms among different class dictionaries. To combine the advantages of both methods, we propose a new weighted block dictionary learning method. This method introduces proto dictionary and class dictionary. The proto dictionary is a base dictionary without label information. The class dictionary is a class-specific dictionary, which is a weighted proto dictionary. The weight value indicates the contribution of each proto dictionary block when constructing a class dictionary. These weight values can be computed conveniently as they are designed to adapt sparse coefficients. Different class dictionaries have different weight vectors but share the same proto dictionary, which results in higher discriminative power and lower redundancy. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed algorithm has better classification results compared with several dictionary learning algorithms. Zhongrong Shi Copyright © 2016 Zhongrong Shi. All rights reserved. Optimal Constant-Stress Accelerated Degradation Test Plans Using Nonlinear Generalized Wiener Process Tue, 23 Aug 2016 13:19:08 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/9283295/ Accelerated degradation test (ADT) has been widely used to assess highly reliable products’ lifetime. To conduct an ADT, an appropriate degradation model and test plan should be determined in advance. Although many historical studies have proposed quite a few models, there is still room for improvement. Hence we propose a Nonlinear Generalized Wiener Process (NGWP) model with consideration of the effects of stress level, product-to-product variability, and measurement errors for a higher estimation accuracy and a wider range of use. Then under the constraints of sample size, test duration, and test cost, the plans of constant-stress ADT (CSADT) with multiple stress levels based on the NGWP are designed by minimizing the asymptotic variance of the reliability estimation of the products under normal operation conditions. An optimization algorithm is developed to determine the optimal stress levels, the number of units allocated to each level, inspection frequency, and measurement times simultaneously. In addition, a comparison based on degradation data of LEDs is made to show better goodness-of-fit of the NGWP than that of other models. Finally, optimal two-level and three-level CSADT plans under various constraints and a detailed sensitivity analysis are demonstrated through examples in this paper. Zhen Chen, Shuo Li, and Ershun Pan Copyright © 2016 Zhen Chen et al. All rights reserved. Model Predictive Control Algorithm Based on Off-Line Region Dependency Tue, 23 Aug 2016 13:15:50 +0000 http://www.hindawi.com/journals/mpe/2016/6308598/ This paper presents an efficient MPC algorithm for uncertain time-varying systems with input constraints. The main advantage of this algorithm with respect to other published algorithms is to significantly enlarge the size of the stabilization set without regard to computational burdens. Specially, we introduce an off-line region-dependent MPC scheme to avoid the size limitation of the control horizon caused by huge on-line computational burdens. A numerical example is included to illustrate the validity of the result. Sung Hyun Kim Copyright © 2016 Sung Hyun Kim. All rights reserved.