Investigating the Influence of Anthropogenic Forcing on Observed Mean and Extreme Sea Level Pressure Trends over the Mediterranean Region

Table 2

Seasonal uncentred pattern correlation coefficients of mean sea level pressure for 30-year trends from 1974 to 2005, compared to the trend of 17 anthropogenic (GS) signal patterns and ensemble mean of 17 ANT simulations conducted with 9 models, derived from the CMIP3 multimodel data set. The indices significantly greater than zero at 5% level are labelled with an asterisk.

	Models	DJF	MAM	JJA	SON
1	BCCR-BCM2-0	0.92^∗	0.70^∗	0.40	−0.95^∗
2	CCCMA-CGCM3-1	0.67^∗	0.63^∗	0.50^∗	−0.16
3	CCCMA-CGCM3-1-T63	0.55^∗	0.20	0.61^∗	−0.40^∗
4	CNRM-CM3	0.89^∗	0.85^∗	0.21	−0.94^∗
5	CSIRO-MK3-0	0.86^∗	0.55	0.67^∗	−0.69^∗
6	GFDL-CM2-0	0.87^∗	0.68^∗	0.30	−0.40^∗
7	GFDL-CM2-1	0.93^∗	0.78^∗	0.19	−0.20
8	GISS-AOM	0.73^∗	0.76^∗	0.39^∗	−0.74^∗
9	INGV-ECHAM4	0.91^∗	0.32	0.39	−0.77^∗
10	INMCM3-0	0.90^∗	0.62	0.67	−0.19
11	MIROC3-2-HIRES	0.81^∗	0.80^∗	0.64^∗	−0.71^∗
12	MIROC3-2-MEDRES	0.90^∗	0.78^∗	0.78^∗	0.10
13	MIUB-ECHO-G	0.96^∗	0.84^∗	0.47^∗	−0.59^∗
14	MPI-ECHAM5	0.90^∗	0.69^∗	0.65^∗	−0.18
15	MRI-CGCM2-3-2A	0.57^∗	0.81^∗	0.59^∗	−0.81^∗
16	NCAR-CCSM3-0	0.89^∗	0.84^∗	0.67^∗	−0.02
17	UKMO-HADGEM1	0.91^∗	0.73^∗	0.73^∗	−0.50
	GS signal (17 ANT Simulations)	0.90^∗	0.37^∗	0.78^∗	−0.51^∗