Applying Econometrics to the Carbon Dioxide “Control Knob”

Table 5

Determinants of temperature change at Pt. Barrow. Determinants of year-on-year differences in mean maximum annual temperatures point Barrow 1960–2006.

(a) Summary output. Dependent variable: year-on-year changes in mean maximum temperatures

Regression statistics
Multiple 𝑅	0.593
𝑅 square	0.351
Adjusted 𝑅 square	0.321
Standard error	1.314
Observations	46

(b) ANOVA

	df	SS	MS	F
Regression	2	40.162	20.081	11.633
Residual	43	74.228	1.726
Total	45	114.390

(c)

	Coefficients	Standard error	𝑡 stat	𝑃 value
Intercept	−0.075	0.743	−0.101	0.920
ΔH2O	15.456	3.207	4.820	0.000
RF abs	0.065	0.648	0.100	0.921

Sources: http://rredc.nrel.gov/solar/old_data/nsrdb/1961-1990/dsf/ and http://rredc.nrel.gov/solar/old_data/nsrdb/1991-2005/ for CO₂: http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/.