Research Article
Characteristics and Scenarios Projection of Climate Change on the Tibetan Plateau
Table 2
Comparison of temperature and precipitation between simulations of climate models and observation.
| Model name for short | Simulated values | Absolute error of /°C | Relative error of /% | Correlation coefficient | Deterministic coefficient | /°C | /mm | | | | |
| BCM2 | −8.2 | 1211.3 | −11.6 | 146.0 | 0.984 | 0.938 | 0.353 | 0.389 | CGMR | −1.4 | 778.8 | −4.7 | 58.1 | 0.986 | 0.935 | 0.739 | 0.678 | CNCM3 | −7.4 | 1259.7 | −10.7 | 155.8 | 0.984 | 0.918 | 0.365 | 0.361 | CSMK3 | −6.9 | 639.7 | −10.2 | 29.9 | 0.987 | 0.91 | 0.432 | 0.736 | ECHOG | −4.0 | 538.5 | −7.3 | 9.3 | 0.964 | 0.654 | 0.589 | −1.633 | FGOAL | −1.8 | 592.2 | −5.2 | 20.2 | 0.966 | −0.084 | 0.649 | 0.559 | GFCM20 | −7.7 | 859.4 | −11.1 | 74.5 | 0.982 | 0.923 | 0.365 | 0.623 | GFCM21 | −4.0 | 777.3 | −7.3 | 57.8 | 0.985 | 0.922 | 0.570 | −0.705 | GIAOM | −3.1 | 636.2 | −6.4 | 29.2 | 0.98 | 0.7 | 0.636 | −3.553 | GIEH | −3.1 | 296.9 | −6.4 | −39.7 | 0.975 | −0.211 | 0.584 | −3.069 | GIER | −3.8 | 282.5 | −7.1 | −42.6 | 0.97 | −0.141 | 0.572 | 0.490 | HADCM3 | −3.9 | 842.3 | −7.3 | 71.0 | 0.984 | 0.881 | 0.541 | 0.644 | HADGEM | −4.7 | 828.4 | −8.0 | 68.2 | 0.982 | 0.94 | 0.545 | −0.723 | INCM3 | −1.5 | 630.5 | −4.8 | 28.0 | 0.942 | 0.579 | 0.650 | −3.451 | INGSXG | −0.1 | 558.4 | −3.4 | 13.4 | 0.965 | 0.313 | 0.700 | −2.949 | IPCM4 | −5.5 | 521.9 | −8.9 | 6.0 | 0.97 | 0.508 | 0.526 | −1.273 | MIHR | −1.6 | 528.1 | −4.9 | 7.2 | 0.969 | 0.752 | 0.655 | −0.704 | MIMR | −2.2 | 585.6 | −5.5 | 18.9 | 0.963 | 0.704 | 0.635 | −0.255 | MPEH5 | −2.5 | 596.7 | −5.8 | 21.2 | 0.966 | 0.717 | 0.649 | 0.420 | MRCGCM | −1.3 | 986.2 | −4.6 | 100.3 | 0.986 | 0.904 | 0.732 | 0.282 | NCCCSM | −4.7 | 796.0 | −8.0 | 61.6 | 0.969 | 0.852 | 0.493 | 0.424 | NCPCM | −3.2 | 1153.2 | −6.6 | 134.2 | 0.976 | 0.932 | 0.596 | 0.389 |
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(: precipitation; : temperature).
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