The Sacred Mountain of Varallo in Italy: Seismic Risk Assessment by Acoustic Emission and Structural Numerical Models

Table 3

AE as precursor from July 5, 2011 to September 5, 2011. Cumulative probability 𝐶⁺(𝑟,𝜏) for radius 𝑟 ranging between 60 and 100 km, and time 𝜏 varying from 1 week to 9 weeks.

	60 km	80 km	100 km
1 week	0.0075	0.0278	0.0846
2 weeks	0.0184	0.0552	0.1896
3 weeks	0.0239	0.0833	0.3222
4 weeks	0.0346	0.1040	0.3841
5 weeks	0.0498	0.1210	0.4435
6 weeks	0.0557	0.1268	0.5130
7 weeks	0.0557	0.1268	0.5497
8 weeks	0.0557	0.1268	0.5607
9 weeks	0.0557	0.1268	0.5657