The Sacred Mountain of Varallo in Italy: Seismic Risk Assessment by Acoustic Emission and Structural Numerical Models

Table 5

Filtered AE as precursor from July 5, 2011 to September 5, 2011. Cumulative probability 𝐶⁺(𝑟,𝜏) for radius 𝑟 ranging between 60 and 100 km, and time 𝜏 varying from 1 week to 9 weeks.

	60 km	80 km	100 km
1 week	0.0080	0.0290	0.0829
2 weeks	0.0197	0.0592	0.1969
3 weeks	0.0252	0.0866	0.3288
4 weeks	0.0364	0.1081	0.3920
5 weeks	0.0517	0.1248	0.4538
6 weeks	0.0577	0.1308	0.5267
7 weeks	0.0577	0.1308	0.5625
8 weeks	0.0577	0.1308	0.5731
9 weeks	0.0577	0.1308	0.5776