Research Article

Smoothing Strategies Combined with ARIMA and Neural Networks to Improve the Forecasting of Traffic Accidents

Table 4

Pitman’s correlation (Corr) for pairwise comparison six models at 5% of significance and the critical value 0.2219.

ModelsM1M2M3M4M5M6

M1 HSVD-ARIMA −0.9146−0.9931−0.9983−0.9994−0.9993
M2 MA-ARIMA−0.8676−0.9648−0.9895−0.9887
M3 HSVD-ANN-PSO−0.6645−0.8521−0.8216
M4 HSVD-ANN-RPRO−0.5129−0.4458
M5 ANN-RPROP0.1623
M6 MA-ANN-PSO