Migration, Occupational Mobility, and Regional Escalators in Scotland

Table 4

Probability of moving into high occupational status group in 2001 for individuals in low occupational status group in 1991.

	Model 1			Model 2			Model 3			Model 4
	coeff	std err	sig	coeff	std err	sig	coeff	std err	sig	coeff	std err	sig
Country of birth (reference = Scotland)
Born England or Wales	0.392	0.051	***	0.237	0.058	***				0.259	0.058	***
Born outside UK	0.294	0.091	***	0.305	0.104	***				0.285	0.105	***
Place of residence 2001 by mobility between 1991 and 2001 (reference = low job access no move)
Glasgow no move							0.279	0.096	***	0.352	0.103	***
Glasgow short move							0.785	0.090	***	0.608	0.098	***
Glasgow long move							1.430	0.195	***	0.852	0.218	***
Edinburgh no move							0.422	0.114	***	0.352	0.123	***
Edinburgh short move							1.129	0.102	***	0.730	0.111	***
Edinburgh long move							2.213	0.215	***	1.825	0.244	***
Cities no move							0.176	0.090	**	0.251	0.096	***
Cities short move							0.624	0.087	***	0.413	0.094	***
Cities long move							1.271	0.122	***	0.916	0.135	***
Medium job access no move							0.175	0.094	*	0.214	0.101	**
Medium job access short move							0.588	0.089	***	0.344	0.097	***
Medium job access long move							1.245	0.122	***	0.774	0.136	***
Low job access short move							0.259	0.108	***	0.116	0.117
Low job access long move							0.825	0.153	***	0.383	0.170	**
Gender (reference = female)				0.064	0.027	***				0.062	0.027	**
Age				−0.040	0.002	***				−0.036	0.002	***
Ethnic minority (reference = not ethnic minority)				−0.685	0.256	***				−0.770	0.258	***
Children in household (reference = no children 1991 and 2001)
No child 1991, child 2001				−0.194	0.044	***				−0.183	0.044	***
Child 1991 and 2001				0.004	0.040					0.033	0.040
Child 1991 and no child 2001				−0.024	0.039					−0.001	0.039
Civil status of household (reference = couple 1991 and 2001)
Couple 1991 and single 2001				−0.014	0.058					−0.059	0.058
Single 1991 and 2001				−0.022	0.046					−0.028	0.046
Single 1991 and couple 2001				0.188	0.042	***				0.141	0.043	***
Health status (reference = no ill health 1991 and 2001)
Ill health 1991 and 2001				0.426	0.233	*				0.410	0.234	*
Ill health 1991				−0.251	0.148	*				−0.255	0.148	*
Ill health 2001				−0.161	0.063	***				−0.153	0.063	***
Educational qualifications (reference = no qualifications)
Below degree				1.428	0.057	***				1.421	0.058	***
Above degree				2.007	0.090	***				1.950	0.091	***
Tenure 1991 (reference = owner occupier)
Social renting				−0.755	0.033	***				−0.743	0.033	***
Private renting				−0.356	0.060	***				−0.361	0.061	***
Constant	−1.223	0.013	***	0.184	0.081	**	−1.722	0.083	***	−0.353	0.124	***
Initial log likelihood	−19609.061
Log likelihood	−19658.145			−160808.726			−19356.099			−16711.077
Pseudo 𝑅^2	0.002			0.075			0.017			0.081
Number of observations	36,328

* 𝑃<0.1, **𝑃<0.05, ***𝑃<0.001.
Source: calculations done by the authors using data from the SLS.