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Li Zu, Daqing Jiang, Fuquan Jiang, "Existence, Stationary Distribution, and Extinction of Predator-Prey System of Prey Dispersal with Stochastic Perturbation", Abstract and Applied Analysis, vol. 2012, Article ID 547152, 24 pages, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1155/2012/547152
Existence, Stationary Distribution, and Extinction of Predator-Prey System of Prey Dispersal with Stochastic Perturbation
We consider a predator-prey model in which the preys disperse among patches () with stochastic perturbation. We show that there is a unique positive solution and find out the sufficient conditions for the extinction to the system with any given positive initial value. In addition, we investigate that there exists a stationary distribution for the system and it has ergodic property. Finally, we illustrate the dynamic behavior of the system with via numerical simulation.
Interest has been growing in the study of the dynamic relationship between predators and their preys due to its universal existence and importance. However, due to the spatial heterogeneity and the increasing spread of human activities, the habitats of many biological species have been separated into isolated patches. In some of these patches, without the contribution from other patches, the species will go to extinction. Recently, the effect of dispersion on the species survival has been an important subject in population biology (see [1–10] and the references cited therein). Particularly, two species predator-prey systems with dispersal have received great attention from both theoretical and mathematical biologists and many good results have been achieved (see [1, 2, 7, 9–11]). The analysis of these papers has been centered around the coexistence of populations, stability (local and global), and permanence of equilibria. Zhang and Teng  established the sufficient conditions on the boundedness, permanence, and existence of positive periodic solution for two species predator-prey model. Kuang and Takeuchi  studied a predator-prey system with prey dispersal in a two-patch environment; they obtained the existence, local and global stability of the positive steady state and analyzed both the stabilizing and destabilizing effects of dispersion by introducing examples.
Li and Shuai  considered the model where , denote the densities of preys and predators on the patch , respectively. The parameters in the model are nonnegative constants and , are positive. The constants are the dispersal rate from patch to , and the constants can be selected to represent different boundary conditions in the continuous diffusion case . Let denote dispersal matrix. By constructing a Lyapunov function and using graph theory, Li and Shuai proved the uniqueness and globally asymptotically stability of a positive equilibrium, whenever it exists, if is irreducible and there exists such that or .
The model mentioned above is a deterministic model which assumes that the parameters in the model are all deterministic irrespective environmental fluctuations. In fact, population dynamics is inevitably affected by environmental white noise, such as weather and epidemic disease. Therefore, the deterministic models are often subject to stochastic perturbation, and it is useful to reveal how the noise affects the population system. There are some authors who have studied the dynamics of predator-prey models with stochastic perturbations (see [13–15]). Ji et al.  studied a predator-prey with modified Leslie-Gower and Holling-type II schemes with stochastic perturbation; they got some good results about existence, uniqueness, and extinction of positive solution. Cai and Lin  investigated a predator-prey stochastic system with competition among predators and obtained the probability distribution of the system state variables at the state of statistical stationarity. But, until now, few people study the dynamical behavior of the predator-prey system with diffusion under the influence of white noise. However, the diffusion phenomenon and environmental white noise are universal existence in nature. Therefore, we want to study the effect of random perturbations on the predator-prey system on the basis of the existing diffusion model and the contents of this paper are of great significance.
In this paper, we take into account the effect of randomly fluctuating and stochastically perturb intrinsic growth rate in each equations of (1.1): where are mutually independent Brownian motions and are positive constants representing the intensity of the white noises, respectively. Then the stochastic system takes the following form: Throughout this paper, we assume are nonnegative constants, is irreducible, and the parameters , , , , , are positive constants.
In order to obtain better dynamic properties of the SDE (1.3), we will show that there exists a unique positive global solution with any initial positive value, and its th moment is bounded in Section 2. In the study of a population dynamics, permanence is a very important and interesting topic regarding the survival of populations in ecological system. In a deterministic system, it is usually solved by showing the global attractivity of the positive equilibrium of the system. But, as mentioned above, it is impossible to expect stochastic system (1.3) to tend to a steady state. So we attempt to investigate the stationary distribution of this system by Lyapunov functional technique. The stationary can be considered a weak stability, which appears as the solution is fluctuating in a neighborhood of the equilibrium point of the corresponding deterministic model. In Section 3, we will show if the white noise is small, there is a stationary distribution of SDE (1.3) and it has ergodic property. Existing results on dynamics in a patchy environment have largely been restricted to extinction analysis which means that the population system will survive or die out in the future due to the increased complexity of global analysis. In Section 4, we give the sufficient conditions for extinction. In Section 5, we make numerical simulation to conform our analytical results. Finally, for the completeness of the paper, we give an appendix containing some theories which will be used in previous sections.
Throughout this paper, unless otherwise specified, let be a complete probability space with a filtration satisfying the usual conditions (i.e., it is right continuous and contains all -null sets). Let denote the positive cone of , namely, . For convenience and simplicity in the following discussion, denote . If is a vector or matrix, its transpose is denoted by . If is a matrix, its trace norm is denoted by whilst its operator norm is denoted by .
2. Positive and Global Solutions
In order for a stochastic differential equation to have a unique global (i.e., no explosion at any finite time) solution, the coefficients of the equation are generally required to satisfy the linear growth condition and local Lipschitz condition (see ). However, the coefficients of SDE (1.3) do not satisfy the linear growth condition, though they are locally Lipschitz continuous, so the solution of SDE (1.3) may explode at a finite time. In this section, we will prove the solution of stochastic system (1.3) with any positive initial value is not only positive but also not exploive in infinity at any finite time.
Theorem 2.1. For any given initial value , there is a unique positive solution of SDE (1.3), and the solution will remain in with probability 1.
Proof. We define a -function : Applying Itô’s formula, we have It is clear that the coefficient of quadratic term is negative, so we must be able to find a positive constant number that satisfies and is independent of , , and . By the similar proof of Li and Mao [18, Theorem 2.1], we can obtain the desired assertion.
Theorem 2.1 shows that the solution of SDE (1.3) will remain in the positive cone with probability 1. This nice property provides us with a great opportunity to discuss the th moment and stochastically ultimately boundedness of the solution.
Definition 2.2 (see ). The solution of SDE (1.3) is said to be stochastically ultimately bounded, if for any , there exists a positive constant , such that for any initial value , the solution to (1.3) has the property that
Lemma 2.3. For any given initial value , there exist positive constants , , and , such that the solution of SDE (1.3) has the following property:
Proof. By Itô’s formula and Young inequality, we compute where are positive constants to be determined. Hence, for positive constants , we have Next, we claim that there exist , and such that In fact, we only need and , where is a sufficiently large positive integer. Let It is clear that . Then Integrating it from 0 to and taking expectations of both sides, we obtain that Therefore, letting , we have Notice that the solution of equation obeys By comparison theorem, we can get which implies that there is a , such that In addition is continuous, so we have Let , then This completes the proof.
Theorem 2.4. The solutions of system (1.3) are stochastically ultimately bounded for any initial value .
3. Stationary Distribution
Lemma 3.1 (see ). Assume is irreducible. If there exists such that or , then, whenever a positive equilibrium exists for system (1.1), it is unique and globally asymptotically stable in the positive cone .
In the section, we assume system (1.1) exists and the positive equilibrium satisfies the equation where .
We now state a theorem in which the graph theory will be used. Assume defined as in Lemma A.1 are nonnegative constants and .
Proof. Define : Then By (3.1), we have Substituting this into (3.3) gives Here we use the fact: , for with equality holding if and only if . Since is irreducible, , , we know matrix ) is irreducible. Let , and by Lemma A.1, we have which implies that The following proof of ergodicity is similar to Theorem 3.2 in . Assume , then Note that , then the ellipsoid lies entirely in . We can take to be a neighborhood of the ellipsoid with , so for , ( is a positive constant), which implies the condition in Lemma A.2 is satisfied. Therefore, the solution is recurrent in the domain , which together with Remark A.3 and Lemma A.4 implies is recurrent in any bounded domain . Thus, for any , there is such that for all , , which implies that condition is also satisfied. Therefore, the stochastic system (1.3) has a stable stationary distribution and it is ergodic.
In this section, we will show that if the noise is sufficiently large, the solution to the associated SDE (1.3) will become extinct with probability 1, although the solution to the original equation (1.1) may be persistent. For example, recall a simple case, namely, the scalar logistic equation with initial value . It is well known that, when , the solution is persistent, because However, consider its associated stochastic equation where , then the solution to this stochastic equation will become extinct with probability 1, that is to say, if , The following theorem reveals the important fact that the environmental noise may make the population extinct.
Theorem 4.1. For any given initial value , the solution of the SDE (1.3) has the property that Here Particularly, if , then .
Proof. Define By Itô’s formula, we have Thus we compute Letting , we compute By Cauchy inequality, we compute also where . Substituting these two inequalities into (4.9) yields This implies where is a martingale defined by with . The quadratic variation of this martingale is where . By the strong law of large numbers for martingale (see [17, 20]), we have It finally follows from (4.13) by dividing on the both sides and then letting that which implies the required assertion.
Remark 4.2. Theorem 4.1 shows that if the condition holds, that is, when the prey population is disturbed by large white noise, the species of prey will extinct.
Now we give the following theorem which describes the entire extinction.
Theorem 4.3. For any given initial value , the solution of the SDE (1.3) has the property that Here Particularly, if , then .
Remark 4.4. Theorem 4.3 states that when the prey and predator population are all disturbed by large white noise and the condition holds, the two species will be extinct.
5. Numerical Simulation
In this section, in order to better study the effect of white noise in diffusion system, we assume , are nonnegative constants, is irreducible , and . Consider the predator-prey system with , that is,
Using the discretized equation and the help of Matlab software, we choose the appropriate parameters , the initial value , and time step ; then . In order to better investigate the white noise, we divide its intensity into small, medium, and large three cases to study.
In Figures 1, 2, and 3, we choose and ( satisfy Lemma A.1 and Theorem 3.2); then , and so the condition is also satisfied. Therefore, by Theorem 3.2, there is a stationary distribution (see the histogram on the right in Figure 1). From the left picture in Figure 1, we can see that the solution of system (5.1) is fluctuating in a small neighborhood. Moreover, from Figure 2, we find that almost all population distribution lies in the neighborhood, which can be imagined by a circular or elliptic region centered at (see the scatter picture in Figure 2). Figure 3 shows that when the white noise is small, stochastic system imitates deterministic system and their curves are almost coincident. Hence, the solution of (5.1) is ergodicity, although there is no equilibrium of the stochastic system as the deterministic system. All of these imply system (5.1) is a stochastic stability.
Comparing with small white noise as in Figures 1, 2, and 3, we select the relatively large white noise in Figures 4, 5, and 6. We find that , so the conditions of Theorem 3.2 are not satisfied; therefore, there is not a stationary distribution although the deterministic system is global asymptotic stability. The condition , that is, all extinction condition does not hold by Theorem 4.3 and the predator will die. From Figure 4, we see that the fluctuations on the left figures are more intense and histogram distribution is not concentrated comparing with Figure 1, close to the point .
In Figure 7, we assume both the predator and the prey population suffered large white noise; we choose , which satisfy the cases said in Theorem 4.1, that is . As the case in Theorem 4.1 expected, the large white noise leads to the extinction of the prey which also leads to the extinction of the predator, so the solution of system (5.1) tends to zero.