## Stability and Bifurcation Analysis of Differential Equations and its Applications

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Lingshu Wang, Guanghui Feng, "Stability and Bifurcation Analysis on an Ecoepidemiological Model with Stage Structure and Time Delay", *Abstract and Applied Analysis*, vol. 2014, Article ID 727818, 10 pages, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1155/2014/727818

# Stability and Bifurcation Analysis on an Ecoepidemiological Model with Stage Structure and Time Delay

**Academic Editor:**Sanling Yuan

#### Abstract

An ecoepidemiological predator-prey model with stage structure for the predator and time delay due to the gestation of the predator is investigated. The effects of a prey refuge with disease in the prey population are concerned. By analyzing the corresponding characteristic equations, the local stability of each of the feasible equilibria of the model is discussed. Further, it is proved that the model undergoes a Hopf bifurcation at the positive equilibrium. By means of appropriate Lyapunov functions and LaSalleâ€™s invariance principle, sufficient conditions are obtained for the global stability of the semitrivial boundary equilibria. By using an iteration technique, sufficient conditions are derived for the global attractiveness of the positive equilibrium.

#### 1. Introduction

In the natural world, species does not exist alone. While species spreads the disease, it also competes with the other species for space or food, or it is predated by other species. The construction and study of models for the population dynamics of predator-prey systems have been an important topic in theoretical ecology. Following Anderso and May [1], who were the first to propose an ecoepidemiological model by merging the ecological predator-prey model introduced by Lotka and Volterra, the effect of disease in ecological system is an important issue from mathematical and ecological point of view. Ecoepidemiology which is a relatively new branch of study in theoretical biology tackles such situations by dealing with both ecological and epidemiological issues.

The research of the hiding behaviour of preys has been incorporated as a new ingredient of predator-prey models. In nature, prey populations often have access to areas where they are safe from their predators. Such refugia are usually playing two significant roles, serving both to reduce the chance of extinction due to predation and to damp predator-prey oscillations. It is well known that many more attentions have been paid on the effects of a prey refuge for predator-prey model. In [2], Wang considered an ecoepidemiological model incorporating a prey refuge with disease in the prey population where and represent the densities of susceptible and infected prey population at time , respectively, and represents the density of the predator population at time . The parameters , , , , , , , and are positive constants in which and represent the prey intrinsic growth rate and the carrying capacity, respectively. is the transmission rate of the susceptible prey into the infected prey. and are the capturing rates of the susceptible prey and the infected prey, respectively. describes the efficiency of the predator in converting consumed prey into predator offspring. The constant proportion infected prey refuge is , where is a constant. By means of appropriate Lyapunov functions and limit theory, sufficient conditions are obtained for the global stability of the semitrivial boundary equilibria of model (1).

We note that it is assumed in system (1) that each individual predator admits the same ability to feed on prey. This assumption seems to be not realistic for many animals. In the natural world, there are many species whose individuals pass through an immature stage during which they are raised by their parents, and the rate at which they attack prey can be ignored. Moreover, it can be assumed that their reproductive rate during this stage is zero. Stage structure is a natural phenomenon and represents, for example, the division of a population into immature and mature individuals. Stage-structured models have received great attention in recent years (see, e.g., [3â€“5]).

Time delays of one type or another have been incorporated into biological models by many researchers (see, e.g., [5â€“7]). In general, delay differential equations exhibit much more complicated dynamics than ordinary differential equations since a time delay could cause the population to fluctuate. Time delay due to gestation is a common example, because generally the consumption of prey by the predator throughout its past history governs the present birth rate of the predator. Therefore, more realistic models of population interactions should take into account the effect of time delays.

Based on the above discussions, in this paper, we incorporate a stage structure for the predator and time delay due to the gestation of predator into the model (1). To this end, we study the following differential equations: where and represent the densities of the immature and the mature predator population at time , respectively. The parameters , , and are positive constants in which and are the death rates of the immature and the mature predator, respectively. denotes the rate of immature predator becoming mature predator. is a constant delay due to the gestation of the predator.

The initial conditions for system (2) take the form where .

It is well known by the fundamental theory of functional differential equations [8] that model (2) has a unique solution satisfying initial conditions (3).

The organization of this paper is as follows. In the next section, we show the positivity and the boundedness of solutions of model (2) with initial conditions (3). In Section 3, we investigate the stability of the semitrivial equilibria of the model (2). In Section 4, we discuss the stability of the positive equilibrium of the model (2). Further, we study the existence of Hopf bifurcation at the positive equilibrium. A brief discussion is given in Section 5 to conclude this work.

#### 2. Preliminaries

In this section, we show the positivity and the boundedness of solutions of model (2) with initial conditions (3).

Theorem 1. *Solutions of model (2) with initial conditions (3) are positive for all .*

* Proof. *Let be a solution of model (2) with initial conditions (3). It follows from the first and the second equations of model (2) that

Let us consider and for . Since , for , we derive from the third equation of model (2) that
Since , a standard comparison argument shows that
that is, , for . For , it follows from the fourth equation of (2) that
Since , a standard comparison argument shows that
that is, , for . In a similar way, we treat the intervals . Thus, , and for all . This completes the proof.

Theorem 2. *Positive solutions of model (2) with initial conditions (3) are ultimately bounded.*

*Proof. *Let be a positive solution of model (2) with initial conditions (3). Denote . Define
Calculating the derivative of along the positive solutions of (2), it follows that
which yields
If we choose , , then
This completes the proof.

#### 3. Boundary Equilibria and Their Stability

In this section, we discuss the stability of the boundary equilibria of model (2).

Model (2) always has two boundary equilibria, namely, the trivial equilibrium and the axial equilibrium . It is easy to show that if , model (2) admits a predator-extinction equilibrium , where

The characteristic equation of model (2) at the equilibrium is of the form Clearly (14) has a positive real root. Accordingly, the equilibrium is unstable.

The characteristic equation of model (2) at the equilibrium takes the form Hence, if , (15) has no positive real root. Accordingly, the equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable. If , (15) has a positive real root. Accordingly, the equilibrium is unstable.

Theorem 3. *If , then the semitrivial equilibrium is globally stable.*

*Proof. *Based on the above discussions, we only prove the global attractivity of the equilibrium . Let
where . Calculating the derivative of along the positive solutions of model (2), it follows that
If , then it follows from (17) that . By Theoremâ€‰â€‰, in [8], solutions are limited to , the largest invariant subset of . Clearly, we see from (17) that if and only if . Accordingly, the global asymptotic stability of follows from LaSalleâ€™s invariant principle. This completes the proof.

The characteristic equation of model (2) at the equilibrium is of the form where . Clearly, the roots of equation have negative real part. When , if , then the roots of (18) have negative real part. Accordingly, is locally asymptotically stable. If , then is unstable. It is easily seen that

Hence, if , by Lemma in [7], it follows that the equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable for all . If , then is unstable for all .

Theorem 4. *Let hold; the predator-extinction equilibrium of model (2) is globally stable provided that
*

*Proof. *Based on the above discussions, we only prove the global attractivity of the equilibrium . Define
where and . Calculating the derivative of along the positive solutions of (2), it follows that

Define
We derive from (22) and (23) that
If , it then follows from (24) that . By Theoremâ€‰â€‰, in [8], solutions are limited to , the largest invariant subset of . Clearly, we see from (24) that , if and only if . It follows from the first and fourth equations of (2) that , which yields . Using LaSalleâ€™s invariant principle, the global asymptotic stability of follows. This completes the proof.

#### 4. Stability of Positive Equilibrium

In this section, we are concerned with the stability of the positive equilibrium and the existence of Hopf bifurcations at the positive equilibrium of model (2).

If the following holds,(H1), then model (2) has a unique positive equilibrium , where

The characteristic equation of model (2) at the equilibrium takes the form where It is easy to show that

When , (26) becomes If the following holds, (H2), then by the Routh-Hurwitz theorem, when , the coexistence equilibrium of model (2) is locally asymptotically stable and is unstable if .

If is a solution of (26), separating real and imaginary parts, we have Squaring and adding the two equations of (30), it follows that where

Assume that the following holds:(H3). If , by the general theory on characteristic equations of delay differential equations from [9] (Theorem 4.1), remains stable for all . If , then (31) has a unique positive root ; that is, (26) admits a pair of purely imaginary roots of the form . From (30), we see that By Theoremâ€‰â€‰, in [9], we see that remains stable for .

In the following, we claim that This will show that there exists at least one eigenvalue with a positive real part for . Moreover, the conditions for the existence of a Hopf bifurcation (Theoremâ€‰â€‰ in [9]) are then satisfied yielding a periodic solution. To this end, differentiating equation (26) with respect to , it follows that Hence, a direct calculation shows that We derive from (30) that Hence, it follows that Therefore, if holds, then the transversal condition holds and a Hopf bifurcation occurs at .

In conclusion, we have the following results.

Theorem 5. *For model (2), let () hold, and we have the following.*(i)*If () and () hold, , then the positive equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable for all .*(ii)*If () and () hold, , then there exists a positive number , such that the positive equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable if and is unstable if . Further, model (2) undergoes a Hopf bifurcation at when .*(iii)*If , then the positive equilibrium is unstable for all .*

Now, we are concerned with the global attractiveness of the positive equilibrium .

Theorem 6. *Let () hold, and then the positive equilibrium of model (2) is globally attractive provided that
*

*Proof. *Let be any positive solution of model (2) with initial conditions (3). Let
We now claim that . The technique of proof is to use an iteration method.

We derive from the first and the second equations of model (2) that
Consider the following auxiliary equations:
If , then, by Theoremâ€‰â€‰3.1 in [2], it follows from (42) that
By comparison, we obtain that
Hence, for , sufficiently small, there is a such that if , then . We therefore derive from the third and the fourth equations of model (2) that, for ,
Consider the following auxiliary equations:
If holds, then, by Lemmaâ€‰â€‰2.4 in [10], it follows from (46) that
By comparison, for , sufficiently small, we obtain that
Hence, for , sufficiently small, there is a such that if , then .

For , sufficiently small, we derive from the first and the second equations of model (2) that, for ,
Consider the following auxiliary equations:
If holds, then, by Theoremâ€‰â€‰3.1 in [2], it follows from (50) that
By comparison, for , sufficiently small, we conclude that
Hence, for , sufficiently small, there is a such that if , then . For , sufficiently small, we derive from the third and the fourth equations of model (2) that for
Consider the following auxiliary equations:
Since holds, by Lemma 2.4 of [10], it follows from (54) that
By comparison, for , sufficiently small, we obtain that
Hence, for , sufficiently small, there is a , such that if , .

For , sufficiently small, we derive from the first and the second equations of model (2) that, for ,
Consider the following auxiliary equations:
If holds, then, by Theoremâ€‰â€‰3.1 in [2], it follows from (58) that
By comparison, for , sufficiently small, we obtain that
Therefore, for , sufficiently small, there is a such that if , .

For , sufficiently small, we derive from the third and the fourth equations of model (2) that, for ,
Consider the following auxiliary equations:
Since holds, by Lemma 2.4 of [10], it follows from (62) that
By comparison, for , sufficiently small, we conclude that
Therefore, for , sufficiently small, there is a such that if , .

For , sufficiently small, it follows from the first and the second equations of model (2) that for
Consider the following auxiliary equations:
If holds, then, by Theoremâ€‰â€‰3.1 in [2], it follows from (66) that
By comparison, for , sufficiently small, we obtain that