Research Article

A Probabilistic Analysis to Quantify the Effect of March 11, 2004, Attacks in Madrid on the March 14 Elections in Spain: A Dynamic Modelling Approach

Table 5

Results (percentages) of the elections of Mar. 14 predicted by the model in case the Mar. 11 attacks had never happened.

Political party Mean CI 95%

PSOE
PP
Other political parties
Abstention