Forecasting Rice Productivity and Production of Odisha, India, Using Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Models

Table 1

Descriptive statistics and Mann-Kendall trend analysis test for the time series data of rice cultivation in Odisha and India from 1950-51 to 2006-07.

Parameters	Mean	Median	Standard deviation	Kurtosis	Skewness	Mann-Kendall trend; ( value)	Sen’s slope; ()
All India
Area (million hectare)	38.63	39.42	4.33	−0.83	−0.46	9.59	0.26
Productivity (kg ha^−1)	1351.90	1234.55	435.12	−1.28	0.32	9.64	25.32
Production (million tonnes)	53.94	48.74	22.42	−1.27	0.31	9.81	1.31
Odisha
Area (million hectare)	4.29	4.38	0.25	−0.62	−0.65	5.29	0.01
Productivity (kg ha^−1)	990.35	967.00	305.89	−0.76	0.29	6.79	16.39
Production (million tonnes)	4.30	4.17	1.47	−0.76	0.24	6.98	0.08