Assessing the Risk Probability of the Embankment Seismic Damage Using Monte Carlo Method

Table 7

Fragility assessment results of the retaining wall-embankment fill-soil foundation system.

PGA (g)	Exceeding probability
	Slight damage	Moderate damage	Severe damage	Destruction
0.1	0.139971	0.006817	0.000005	0.000001
0.2	0.610763	0.134583	0.006364	0.000480
0.3	0.859458	0.378886	0.045066	0.006112
0.4	0.949815	0.601322	0.129339	0.026162
0.5	0.981304	0.756522	0.244740	0.066540
0.6	0.992649	0.853909	0.369587	0.126337
0.7	0.996951	0.912481	0.487993	0.200165
0.8	0.998671	0.947226	0.591822	0.281397
0.9	0.999394	0.967838	0.678544	0.364183
1.0	0.999713	0.980153	0.748769	0.444208
1.1	0.999859	0.987589	0.804517	0.518719
1.2	0.999928	0.992135	0.848216	0.586239
1.3	0.999962	0.994950	0.882201	0.646219
1.4	0.999980	0.996716	0.908513	0.698721
1.5	0.999989	0.997838	0.928839	0.744174
1.6	0.999994	0.99856	0.944531	0.783204
1.7	0.999996	0.99903	0.956652	0.816515
1.8	0.999998	0.99934	0.966029	0.844818
1.9	0.999999	0.999547	0.973296	0.868787
2.0	0.999999	0.999685	0.978942	0.889042
2.1	1.000000	0.99978	0.983341	0.906131
2.2	1.000000	0.999844	0.986778	0.920537
2.3	1.000000	0.999889	0.989471	0.932676
2.4	1.000000	0.999921	0.991589	0.942905
2.5	1.000000	0.999943	0.993259	0.951526
2.6	1.000000	0.999958	0.994580	0.958797
2.7	1.000000	0.999969	0.995629	0.964932
2.8	1.000000	0.999977	0.996464	0.970115
2.9	1.000000	0.999983	0.997131	0.974497
3.0	1.000000	0.999988	0.997665	0.978206