Research Article
A New Method for Short Multivariate Fuzzy Time Series Based on Genetic Algorithm and Fuzzy Clustering
Table 3
Actual and forecasted values of the Alabama University enrollments.
| Year | Enrollment | Kuo et al. (2009) [15] | Egrioglu (2012) [5] | Forecasted enrollment |
| 1971 | 13055 | — | — | — | 1972 | 13563 | — | 13481 | — | 1973 | 13867 | 14000 | 13481 | — | 1974 | 14696 | 14000 | 14242 | — | 1975 | 15460 | 15500 | 15710 | — | 1976 | 15311 | 15500 | 15485 | 15401 | 1977 | 15603 | 16000 | 15936 | 15451 | 1978 | 15861 | 16000 | 15936 | 15756 | 1979 | 16807 | 16000 | 16838 | 16729 | 1980 | 16919 | 17500 | 17500 | 17448 | 1981 | 16388 | 16000 | 17500 | 16632 | 1982 | 15433 | 16000 | 16737 | 15397 | 1983 | 15497 | 15500 | 15485 | 15407 | 1984 | 15145 | 16000 | 15485 | 15417 | 1985 | 15163 | 16000 | 15710 | 15416 | 1986 | 15984 | 16000 | 15710 | 15989 | 987 | 16859 | 16000 | 16838 | 16729 | 1988 | 18150 | 17500 | 17500 | 17448 | 1989 | 18970 | 18500 | 19144 | 19073 | 1990 | 19328 | 19500 | 19144 | 19092 | 1991 | 19337 | 19500 | 19144 | 19087 | 1992 | 18876 | 18500 | 19144 | 18964 |
| MSE* | — | 275539 | 265203 | 69492 | MAPE* | — | 2.65 | 2.24 | 1.16 |
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To have a valid comparison, MSE and MAPE are calculated for the same period (1976–1992). Source: the 3 inner columns are taken from [15].
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