- About this Journal ·
- Abstracting and Indexing ·
- Aims and Scope ·
- Annual Issues ·
- Article Processing Charges ·
- Articles in Press ·
- Author Guidelines ·
- Bibliographic Information ·
- Citations to this Journal ·
- Contact Information ·
- Editorial Board ·
- Editorial Workflow ·
- Free eTOC Alerts ·
- Publication Ethics ·
- Reviewers Acknowledgment ·
- Submit a Manuscript ·
- Subscription Information ·
- Table of Contents
Advances in Meteorology
Volume 2011 (2011), Article ID 138425, 11 pages
Characteristic Features of Precipitation Extremes over India in the Warming Scenarios
1Centre for Climate Change Research, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Dr. Homi Bhabha Road, NCL Post, Pashan, Pune 411008, Maharashtra, India
2World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
Received 27 December 2010; Accepted 24 March 2011
Academic Editor: Eugene Rozanov
Copyright © 2011 J. V. Revadekar et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
- L. V. Alexander, X. Zhang, T. C. Peterson et al., “Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation,” Journal of Geophysical Research, vol. 111, no. 5, Article ID D05109, 22 pages, 2006.
- S. S. Roy and R. C. Balling, “Trends in extreme daily rainfall indices in India,” International Journal of Climatology, vol. 24, no. 4, pp. 457–466, 2004.
- B. N. Goswami, V. Venugopal, D. Sangupta, M. S. Madhusoodanan, and K. X. Prince, “Increasing trend of extreme rain events over India in a warming environment,” Science, vol. 314, no. 5804, pp. 1442–1445, 2006.
- IPCC, “Climate change,” in The 4th Assessment Report of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), The Scientific Basis, Contribution of Working Group- I, p. 746, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 2007.
- V. V. Kharin and F. W. Zwiers, “Changes in the extremes in an ensemble of transient climate simulations with a coupled atmosphere-ocean GCM,” Journal of Climate, vol. 13, no. 21, pp. 3760–3788, 2000.
- M. F. Wehner, “Predicted twenty-first-century changes in seasonal extreme precipitation events in the parallel climate model,” Journal of Climate, vol. 17, no. 21, pp. 4281–4290, 2004.
- C. Huntingford, R. G. Jones, C. Prudhomme, R. Lamb, J. H. C. Gash, and D. A. Jones, “Regional climate-model predictions of extreme rainfall for a changing climate,” Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, vol. 129, no. 590, pp. 1607–1622, 2003.
- D. N. Barnett, S. J. Brown, J. M. Murphy, D. M. H. Sexton, and M. J. Webb, “Quantifying uncertainty in changes in extreme event frequency in response to doubled using a large ensemble of GCM simulations,” Climate Dynamics, vol. 26, no. 5, pp. 489–511, 2006.
- C. Frei, R. Schöll, S. Fukutome, J. Schmidli, and P. L. Vidale, “Future change of precipitation extremes in Europe: intercomparison of scenarios from regional climate models,” Journal of Geophysical Research D: Atmospheres, vol. 111, no. 6, Article ID D06105, 2006.
- T. R. Knutson, S. Manabe, and D. Gu, “Simulated ENSO in a global coupled ocean-atmosphere model: multidecadal amplitude modulation and sensitivity,” Journal of Climate, vol. 10, no. 1, pp. 138–161, 1997.
- H. Douville, “Influence of soil moisture on the Asian and African monsoons—part II: interannual variability,” Journal of Climate, vol. 15, no. 7, pp. 701–720, 2002.
- H. Douville, Chauvin, and H. Broqua, “Influence of soil moisture on the Asian and African monsoons. part I: mean monsoon and daily precipitation,” Journal of Climate, vol. 14, no. 11, pp. 2381–2403, 2001.
- F. Giorgi and L. Mearns, “Regional climate change simulation : a review,” Review of Geophysics and Space Physics, vol. 29, no. 2, pp. 191–216, 1991.
- D. B. Stephenson, V. Pavan, M. Collins, M. M. Junge, and R. Quadrelli, “Participating CMIP2 modelling group, North Atlantic oscillation response to transient greenhouse gas forcing and the impact on European winter climate: a CMIP2 multi-model assessment,” Climate Dynamics, vol. 27, no. 4, pp. 401–420, 2006.
- K. Dairaku and S. Emori, “Dynamic and thermodynamic influences on intensified daily rainfall during the Asian summer monsoon under doubled atmospheric conditions,” Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 33, no. 1, Article ID L01704, 5 pages, 2006.
- H. Ueda and T. Yasunari, “Role of warming over the tibetan plateau in early onset of the summer monsoon over the bay of Bengal and the South China Sea,” Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, vol. 76, no. 1, pp. 1–12, 1998.
- H. Ueda, A. Iwai, K. Kuwako, and M. Hori, “Impact of anthropogenic forcing on the Asian summer monsoon as simulated by eight GCMs,” Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 33, no. 6, Article ID L06703, 2006.
- G. P. Singh and J. H. Oh, “Impact of Indian Ocean sea-surface temperature anomaly on Indian summer monsoon precipitation using a regional climate model,” International Journal of Climatology, vol. 27, no. 11, pp. 1455–1465, 2007.
- K. Rupa Kumar, K. Krishna Kumar, S. K. Patwardhan, N. R. Deshpande, C. Sharma, and A. P. Mitra, “Future climate scenarios for the South Asian region as simulated by the regional climate model, HadRM2,” Science and Culture, vol. 71, no. 7-8, pp. 214–224, 2005.
- S. K. Patwardhan, K. Krishna Kumar, K. Kamala, P. Bhaskar, J. V. Revadekar, and K. Rupa Kumar, “Characteristics of Indian summer monsoon in the warming scenario,” in Understanding and Forecasting of Monsoon, P. N. Vinayachandran, Ed., pp. 150–157, 2007.
- K. Rupa Kumar, A. K. Sahai, K. Krishna Kumar et al., “High-resolution climate change scenarios for India,” Current Science, vol. 90, no. 3, pp. 334–345, 2006.
- N. Nakicenovic, J. Alcamo, G. Davis, et al., “IPCC, special report on emissions scenarios (SRES),” Special Report on Emissions Scenarios,” Working Group III, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) number, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 2000.
- C. Gordon, C. Cooper, C. A. Senior et al., “The simulation of SST, sea ice extents and ocean heat transports in a version of the Hadley center coupled model without flux adjustments,” Climate Dynamics, vol. 16, no. 2-3, pp. 147–168, 2000.
- D. V. Pope, M. Gallani, P. Rowntree, and A. Stratton, “The impact of new physical parametrizations in the Hadley center climate model: HadAM3,” Climate Dynamics, vol. 16, no. 2-3, pp. 123–146, 2000.
- R. G. Jones, M. Noguer, D. C. Hassell, et al., Generating High Resolution Climate Change Scenarios Using PRECIS, Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research, Met. Office Hadley Centre, London, UK, 2004.
- T. C. Peterson, C. Folland, G. Gruza, W. Hogg, A. Mokssit, and N. Plummer, “Report on the activities of the working group on climate change detection and related rapporteurs 1998–2001,” Report WCDMP-47, WMO-TD, World Meteorological Organisation, Geneva, Switzerland, 2001.
- J. V. Revadekar, Observed trends and model projections of extremes in precipitation and surface temperature over India, Ph.D. thesis, University of Pune, Pune, India, 2010.
- T. Yasunari, “A quasi-stationary appearance of 30-40 day period in the cloudiness fluctuations during summer monsoon over India,” Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, vol. 58, pp. 225–229, 1980.
- A. Chowdhury, K. C. Sinha Ray, and R. K. Mukhopadhyay, “Intraseasonal cloud variations over India during summer monsoon,” Mausam, vol. 39, pp. 359–366, 1988.
- A. D. Vernekar, V. Thapliyal, R. H. Kripalani, S. V. Singh, and B. Kirtman, “Global structure of the madden-julian oscillations during two recent contrasting summer monsoon seasons over India,” Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, vol. 52, no. 1-2, pp. 37–47, 1993.
- R. H. Kripalani, A. Kulkarni, S. S. Sabade, J. V. Revadekar, S. K. Patwardhan, and J. R. Kulkarni, “Intra-seasonal oscillations during monsoon 2002 and 2003,” Current Science, vol. 87, no. 3, pp. 325–330, 2004.
- B. Parthasarathy and G. B. Pant, “Seasonal relationships between Indian summer monsoon rainfall and the southern oscillation,” Journal of Climatology, vol. 5, no. 4, pp. 369–378, 1985.
- B. Parthasarathy, K. Rupa Kumar, and A. A. Munot, “Forecast of rainy season foodgrain production based on monsoon rainfall,” Indian Journal of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 62, pp. 1–8, 1992.
- S. Gadgil, Y. P. Abrol, and P. R. Seshagiri Rao, “On growth and fluctuation of Indian foodgrain production,” Current Science, vol. 76, no. 4, pp. 548–556, 1999.