Impacts of Future Climate Changes on Shifting Patterns of the Agro-Ecological Zones in China

Table 3

Transition matrix of agroecological zones in China (unit: million hectares).

Transition to

Transition from

AEZ4

AEZ5

AEZ6

AEZ7

AEZ8

AEZ9

AEZ10

AEZ11

AEZ12

AEZ13

AEZ14

AEZ15

AEZ16

AEZ17

AEZ4

—

AEZ5

—

0.25^c

AEZ6

0.63^b; 0.30^c

—

0.42^b

0.40^b

AEZ7

—

2.44^a; 3.29^b; 2.14^c

AEZ8

6.63^b; 5.08^c

—

0.72^b

0.31^b

0.20^a; 0.87^b

AEZ9

3.29^b; 2.77^c

—

3.37^a; 1.17^c

0.21^b

AEZ10

1.09^a; 4.37^b; 2.30^c

—

2.82^b; 1.02^c

0.24^b

AEZ11

0.24^a

—

4.68^a; 0.24^b; 7.85^c

0.44^b; 0.24^c

0.28^b

0.47^b; 0.29^c

AEZ12

0.40^a

0.57^a; 8.81^b; 1.66^c

—

0.26^b

AEZ13

1.58^a; 1.02^b; 1.10^c

—

5.53^a; 9.8^b

2.61^a; 0.25^b; 3.12^c

AEZ14

0.91^b

3.10^a; 14.43^b; 13.74^c

—

1.41^a; 2.00^b; 0.98^c

AEZ15

0.20^b

0.40^a; 0.32^b; 1.88^c

1.10^c

0.27^a

0.02^b; 0.55^c

2.86^a; 3.54^b; 0.01^c

—

2.26^a; 3.78^b; 0.72^c

AEZ16

0.35^a; 0.40^b

0.29^a

1.45^b

2.83^b

—

0.33^c

AEZ17

0.61^c

—

Notes. aFrom period of 2011–2020 to period of 2021–2030; ^bfrom period of 2021–2030 to period of 2031–2040; and ^cfrom period of 2031–2040 to period of 2041–2050.