Information Content of Seasonal Forecasts in a Changing Climate

<table>Histogram of mean monthly <svg height="11.6875" id="M79" style="vertical-align:-0.20473pt" version="1.1" viewbox="0 0 22.0375 11.6875" width="22.0375" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">
<g transform="matrix(.017,-0,0,-.017,.062,11.363)"><path d="M303 0h-265v28q62 5 76 19.5t14 77.5v400q0 63 -14 77.5t-76 19.5v28h265v-28q-62 -5 -76 -19.5t-14 -77.5v-400q0 -64 14 -78t76 -19v-28z" id="x49"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.017,-0,0,-.017,5.859,11.363)"><path d="M409 504l-29 -5q-16 60 -44.5 96t-86.5 36q-54 0 -82.5 -32t-28.5 -77q0 -51 30.5 -82.5t96.5 -65.5l35.5 -18t33 -19.5t33.5 -23.5l27 -25.5t24.5 -32t13.5 -36.5t6 -45q0 -80 -62 -134.5t-160 -54.5q-47 0 -98 15q-22 7 -50 21q-8 23 -27 155l30 7q7 -27 18 -52
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</svg> for temperature forecasts: (a) CPC; (b) Trend; (c) Combined.</table>

Advances in Meteorology

Information Content of Seasonal Forecasts in a Changing Climate

Figure 2