Scenario Analyses of Land Use Conversion in the North China Plain: An Econometric Approach

Table 3

Regional trends in population and annual percapita income in the North China Plain assumed for the BAU, REG, and CES scenarios.

Scenario	Year
	2010	2020	2030	2040	2050
Population	(Hundred million people)
BAU	2.48	2.51	2.54	2.57	2.6
REG	2.54	2.69	2.64	2.63	2.64
CES	2.42	2.52	2.45	2.35	2.33
Annual per capita income	(Yuan)
BAU	3375.6	4537.8	5873.6	6974.3	7825.4
REG	3407.9	4769.8	6200.7	7443.3	8930.7
CES	3442.4	4625.4	5921.4	7220.5	8378.5

Note: the annual per capita income was calculated and adjusted based on the consumer-price index of year 2000 to eliminate the effect of inflation.