Statistical Prediction of Summer Rainfall and Vegetation in the Ethiopian Highlands

Table 1

Multivariate predictors for (a) rain and (b) vegetation.

(a)

Target	Predictor	Domain	Coefficient
MJJ northern rain	Ts n Europe	45N–65N, 40W–70E	−0.38
𝑟^2=0.51	Ts c Indian O	20S–10N, 70E–95E	−0.39
Offset = 0.01	8 U c Atlantic	10S–10N, 60W–10W	−0.44
	8 U s Indian O	45S–30S, 40E–110E	0.42
ASO northern rain	Ts Asia	40N–60N, 50E–130E	−0.45
𝑟^2=0.53	2 U nw Pacific	45N–60N, 140E–160W	0.50
Offset = 0.01	8 U w Europe	35N–50N, 50W–20E	0.47
	8 U e Africa	15S–0N, 35E–55E	−0.45
MJJ southern rain	Ts n Europe	45N–60N, 20W–80E	−0.70
𝑟^2=0.49, offset = 0.03	8 U c Atlantic	15S–10N, 70–20W	−0.56
ASO southern rain	Ts se Atlantic	20S–0N, 15W–15E	−0.28
𝑟^2=0.51	2 U s America	32S–15S, 120W–0W	0.21
Offset = 0.05	2 U sw Atlantic	52S–40S, 80W–0W	−0.56

(b)

Target*	Predictor	Domain	Coefficient
ASO northern Veg	Ts sw Pacific	30S–12N, 140E–170E	0.59
𝑟^2=0.67	SLP n Atlantic	48N–62N, 80W–0W	0.38
	SLP s Indian O	50S–30S, 65E–110E	−0.34
	2 U n Africa	22N–35N, 30E–40E	−0.31
MJJ southern Veg	Ts w Indian O	18S–18N, 5W–100E	−0.34
𝑟^2=0.43	Ts se Pacific	38S–18S, 110W–75W	−0.47
	2 U se Pacific	32S–15S, 125W–70W	0.28
ASO southern Veg	Ts sw Atlantic	50S–32S, 50W–10W	−0.26
𝑟^2=0.62	SLP Europe	40N–60N, 25W–15E	−0.35
	SLP s Indian O	50S–30S, 60E–90E	−0.50
	2 U ne Pacific	20N–40N, 140W–110W	−0.60

∗MJJ northern omitted.