Climate Change Scenarios of Precipitation Extremes in the Carpathian Region Based on an Ensemble of Regional Climate Models

Figure 4

Ensemble mean of the projected relative changes (in %) for the late 21st century (2070–2099) in comparison with the control period (1961–1990), for different driving GCMs: 6 RCMs driven by HadCM3 (top), 4 RCMs driven by ECHAM5 (middle), and 2 RCMs driven by BCM and ARPEGE (bottom). Same variables as in the case of the two previous figures are displayed, that is, the mean seasonal precipitation, mean seasonal maxima of 1-hour/1-day and 5-day precipitation, and 50-year return values of 1-hour/1-day and 5-day precipitation assessed by the pooling (ROI) approach. Signs “+/−” in the case of HadCM3 (ECHAM5) ensemble indicate grid boxes where at least 5 (3) of the 6 (4) RCMs agree on the sign of change for the given precipitation characteristic. For further details and explanation, see text.