Research Article

Climate Change Scenarios of Precipitation Extremes in the Carpathian Region Based on an Ensemble of Regional Climate Models

Table 3

Average relative changes (in %) of mean seasonal precipitation totals, mean seasonal maxima, and 50-year return values of 1-hour/1-day and 5-day precipitation amounts in the Carpathian Basin (lon. 17–28 E, lat. 44.5–50.5 N) between 2070–2099 and 1961–1990.

DJF
RCMDriving GCMMean seasonal precipitationMean seasonal maxima of 1 d precipitationMean seasonal maxima of 5 d precipitation50-year return value of 1 d precipitation50-year return value of 5 d precipitation

HadRM3HadCM3Q024.016.213.321.019.7
HadCM3Q310.47.45.720.927.0
HadCM3Q1610.512.18.344.626.1

HIRHAMARPEGE−2.43.31.78.411.1
ECHAM524.411.710.020.118.9

CLMHadCM3Q024.012.713.825.227.6

RCABCM14.96.73.210.39.8
ECHAM527.99.09.731.323.9
HadCM3Q38.17.88.814.115.2
HadCM3Q1617.011.811.234.035.2

RACMOECHAM524.510.08.037.330.9

REMOECHAM516.28.98.728.723.5

JJA
RCMDriving GCMMean seasonal precipitationMean seasonal maxima of 1 h precipitationMean seasonal maxima of 5 d precipitation50-year return value of 1 h precipitation50-year return value of 5 d precipitation

HadRM3HadCM3Q0−32.10.2−3.57.0−5.0
HadCM3Q3−43.2−16.1−17.5−5.7−8.8
HadCM3Q16−41.1−10.1−12.4−9.10.7

HIRHAMARPEGE−34.15.31.031.64.6
ECHAM5−3.317.115.844.425.5

CLMHadCM3Q0−35.2−2.0−6.15.45.8

RCABCM−9.012.13.719.912.1
ECHAM5−18.39.10.620.5−0.7
HadCM3Q3−11.44.8−4.129.420.3
HadCM3Q16−16.011.27.825.222.2

RACMOECHAM5−24.58.2−3.427.42.3

REMOECHAM5−20.45.4−2.433.47.5