Climate Change Scenarios of Precipitation Extremes in the Carpathian Region Based on an Ensemble of Regional Climate Models

Table 4

Ensemble mean and ensemble quantiles (25% and 75%; Q25 and Q75, resp.) of relative changes (in %) in mean seasonal precipitation totals, mean seasonal maxima, and 50-year return values of 1-hour/1-day and 5-day precipitation amounts in the Carpathian Basin between 2070–2099 and 1961–1990.

DJF
	Mean seasonal precipitation	Mean seasonal maxima of 1 d precipitation	Mean seasonal maxima of 5 d precipitation	50-year return value of 1 d precipitation	50-year return value of 5 d precipitation
Ensemble mean	16.6	9.8	8.5	24.7	22.4
Q25	9.0	4.1	3.1	9.5	9.2
Q75	24.9	15.1	13.4	37.8	33.4
JJA
	Mean seasonal precipitation	Mean seasonal maxima of 1 h precipitation	Mean seasonal maxima of 5 d precipitation	50-year return value of 1 h precipitation	50-year return value of 5 d precipitation
Ensemble mean	−23.4	3.8	−1.7	19.1	7.2
Q25	−36.1	−4.6	−10.1	−1.4	−9.4
Q75	−12.4	13.1	6.3	38.7	21.5