Research Article

Fuzzy Clustering-Based Ensemble Approach to Predicting Indian Monsoon

Table 5

Mean absolute errors (%) for annual Indian summer monsoon rainfall prediction by individual MR cluster models and ensemble model for test period 2001–2013. Reports minimum error of 6.2%.

Predictor set Training years Cluster1 error (%) Cluster2 error (%) Cluster3 error (%) Ensemble error (%)

PredSet1 20 9.4 9.3 10.9 8.6
PredSet2 20 11.0 7.5 9.4 8.3
PredSet3 15 10.9 6.5 9.2 6.7
PredSet4 15 10.4 10.1 6.8 6.2
PredSet5 15 7.6 8.5 8.4 7.9