Research Article

Prediction of Moderate and Heavy Rainfall in New Zealand Using Data Assimilation and Ensemble

Table 3

Contingency table for the ensemble mean (MM) for daily rainfall thresholds of 20 mm and 50 mm for the whole country (NZ), the North Island (NI), and the South Island (SI).

Forecast
ObservedYesNoYesNoYesNo
NZNISI

Yes20 mm29652063119384917721214
No221981565112734295109247270

Yes50 mm446389237110209279
No510874672233689428750573