Research Article
Impact of Climate Change on Hydrologic Extremes in the Upper Basin of the Yellow River Basin of China
Table 5
Quantitative evaluation results of impact of climate change on annual rainfall extremes for several given probabilities.
| | Duration (d) | Items | Exceeding probability | | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% |
| | 15 | Design value of observed series (mm) | 126 | 119 | 110 | 102 | | Design value of forecast series (mm) | 128 | 122 | 113 | 105 | | Change rate (%) | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| | 30 | Design value of observed series (mm) | 200 | 190 | 175 | 163 | | Design value of forecast series (mm) | 201 | 192 | 179 | 168 | | Change rate (%) | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| | 60 | Design value of observed series (mm) | 316 | 302 | 281 | 264 | | Design value of forecast series (mm) | 332 | 318 | 297 | 280 | | Change rate (%) | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
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