The Advantage of Using International Multimodel Ensemble for Seasonal Precipitation Forecast over Israel

Table 2

Correlation, RMSE, and NSE for observed monthly precipitation versus the models predictions: one to five months’ lead times, Northern Israel, Latitude: 33.0, Longitude: 35.0.

Lead	Measure	Model
		CFSV2	CMC1	CMC2	GFDL	NASA	NCAR	ECMWF	IMME
1		0.65	0.60	0.64	0.67	0.64	0.58	0.65	0.67
	RMSE	65.2	72.7	65	64	66.2	73.8	65.5	63
	NSE	0.43	0.37	0.43	0.43	0.42	0.34	0.43	0.45
2		0.67	0.59	0.62	0.61	0.62	0.58	0.61	0.67
	RMSE	66.4	67.7	66.5	68.2	69.8	71.4	67.7	66.3
	NSE	0.44	0.3	0.41	0.35	0.36	0.29	0.36	0.44
3		0.63	0.51	0.57	0.58	0.63	0.52	0.62	0.63
	RMSE	66.6	74	72	70.4	67.4	71.8	66.5	67.6
	NSE	0.42	0.24	0.39	0.4	0.43	0.34	0.42	0.43
4		0.54	0.50	0.56	0.49	0.51	0.56	0.58	0.60
	RMSE	72.9	87.8	72.2	88.2	86.7	71.9	68.1	68
	NSE	0.33	0.22	0.35	0.09	0.24	0.35	0.39	0.4
5		0.57	0.49	0.59	0.57	0.55	0.52	0.54	0.58
	RMSE	70.7	88	69.1	70.7	72.8	76	75.2	70.4
	NSE	0.37	0.22	0.4	0.37	0.35	0.3	0.32	0.39