The Advantage of Using International Multimodel Ensemble for Seasonal Precipitation Forecast over Israel

Table 3

Correlation, RMSE, and NSE for observed monthly precipitation versus the models predictions: one to five months’ lead times, Central Israel, Latitude: 32.0, Longitude: 35.0.

Lead	Measure	Model
		CFSV2	CMC1	CMC2	GFDL	NASA	NCAR	ECMWF	IMME
1		0.62	0.55	0.58	0.62	0.6	0.55	0.60	0.64
	RMSE	51	57.4	55.7	56.7	54.7	57.7	53.5	50.3
	NSE	0.4	0.35	0.37	0.4	0.38	0.35	0.38	0.42
2		0.59	0.54	0.58	0.56	0.57	0.54	0.57	0.62
	RMSE	54.1	59.1	55.1	57.8	56.9	61.5	59	53.6
	NSE	0.38	0.35	0.38	0.35	0.36	0.33	0.35	0.4
3		0.56	0.49	0.56	0.56	0.61	0.52	0.54	0.60
	RMSE	58.5	65	59.9	57.7	54.4	63	64.6	55.1
	NSE	0.35	0.22	0.35	0.36	0.39	0.33	0.34	0.39
4		0.47	0.48	0.52	0.48	0.51	0.50	0.51	0.56
	RMSE	66.5	67.9	62.1	68.3	54.3	65.3	54.1	58.7
	NSE	0.22	0.21	0.33	0.21	0.23	0.22	0.23	0.35
5		0.5	0.45	0.57	0.53	0.57	0.50	0.501	0.56
	RMSE	67.6	65.7	56.9	63.3	57	23.1	65.6	59.5
	NSE	0.23	0.22	0.35	0.32	0.34	0.36	0.23	0.35