Research Article

Comparing ALADIN-CZ and ALADIN-LAEF Precipitation Forecasts for Hydrological Modelling in the Czech Republic

Table 1

Comparison of ALADIN and MEAN verification scores for all data together without dependence on lead time or threshold. Bold values indicate better scores.

ScoreALADINMEANRangePerfect score

Correlation (COR)0.03960.0774[−1, 1]1
Root mean squared error (RMSE)7.32506.6944[0, +∞]0
Mean absolute error (MAE)5.02874.5540[0, +∞]0
Bias (BIAS)0.76110.7011[0, +∞]1
Brier score (BS)0.38780.3630[0, 1]0
Ranked probability score (RPS)0.24400.2439[0, 1]0
Equitable threat score (ETS)0.13540.1614[−1/3, 1]1
Threat score (TS)0.39150.3997[0, 1]1
Probability of detection (POD)0.49550.4858[0, 1]1
False alarm ratio (far)0.34890.3071[0, 1]0
Probability of false detection (POFD)0.25790.2091[0, 1]0
Proportion correct (PC)0.62060.6406[0, 1]1
Heidke skill score (HSS)0.23850.2779[−1, 1]1
Odds ratio (OR)2.82663.5734[0, +∞]+∞
Odds ratio skill score (ORSS)0.47730.5627[−1, 1]1
Pierce skill score (PSS)0.23760.2767[−1, 1]1