An Assessment of GCM Performance at a Regional Scale Using a Score-Based Method

Table 2

Model performances for monthly mean temperature.

GCMs	GCM number	Mean value (°C)	StDev	NRMSE	Monthly corr.	Spatial corr.	M-K		EOF		PDF		Total RS
							Zc	Slope (°C/10 a)	EOF1	EOF2	BS	Sscore
obs		8.49	0.53				4.81	0.37	98.90	0.51
access1-0	1	6.81	0.47	0.23	0.999	0.95	3.64	0.28	97.46	0.74	0.006	89.22	16.89
bcc-csm1	2	5.67	0.38	0.33	0.999	0.95	4.40	0.23	97.66	1.19	0.011	80.84	33.22
bnu-esm	3	6.63	0.62	0.27	0.997	0.94	3.69	0.36	98.26	0.64	0.005	91.50	17.68
canesm2	4	7.77	0.51	0.18	0.998	0.93	5.38	0.35	97.66	1.15	0.002	91.19	17.99
ccsm4	5	6.65	0.54	0.27	0.999	0.96	2.98	0.27	98.40	0.63	0.006	89.16	13.73
cesm1-bgc	6	6.79	0.45	0.25	0.998	0.96	2.55	0.20	98.43	0.72	0.005	91.13	16.04
cnrm-cm5	7	5.07	0.46	0.41	0.996	0.95	1.38	0.10	98.03	0.76	0.011	83.78	31.09
giss-e2-h	8	7.12	0.42	0.25	0.995	0.94	−0.10	−0.01	97.95	0.99	0.006	83.48	32.58
csiro-mk3.6	9	6.76	0.42	0.26	0.997	0.93	3.69	0.25	98.52	0.68	0.006	88.92	22.95
fgoals-g2	10	7.49	0.58	0.19	0.996	0.95	4.59	0.44	97.73	1.19	0.004	86.06	17.73
gfdl-cm3	11	5.33	0.61	0.36	0.996	0.97	2.96	0.27	97.74	0.94	0.012	77.21	26.83
hadgem2	12	7.20	0.55	0.26	0.999	0.96	3.17	0.23	97.84	0.64	0.005	85.45	14.78
inm-cm4	13	3.90	0.47	0.53	0.998	0.93	1.13	0.09	96.99	1.08	0.017	78.21	49.67
noresm1-m	14	5.58	0.47	0.35	0.998	0.95	4.24	0.31	98.35	0.75	0.011	83.65	23.11
miroc-esm	15	7.33	0.29	0.22	0.997	0.95	2.60	0.13	97.80	1.23	0.004	90.79	29.35
mpi-esm-lr	16	8.09	0.36	0.16	0.999	0.96	2.90	0.19	98.06	0.93	0.001	91.01	15.53
ipsl-cm5b-lr	17	3.62	0.47	0.55	0.997	0.93	2.17	0.15	98.47	0.59	0.019	72.67	42.89
Mri-cgcm3	18	6.26	0.41	0.32	0.997	0.96	2.03	0.13	98.63	0.55	0.079	85.90	21.19

EOFs 1 and 2 are percentages of the explained variance for the first two leading modes of each EOF; PDF is the probability density function.