A New Weighting Scheme in Weighted Markov Model for Predicting the Probability of Drought Episodes

Table 2

Squared Kappa and weights at various time lags at Astor station.

Step	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
Kappa	0.812	−0.0512	0.0382	−0.0411	0.0083	−0.0746	0.003
Weights	0.7895	0.0498	0.0371	0.04	0.0081	0.0725	0.0029