Increase of Extreme Drought over Ethiopia under Climate Warming

Table 4

Projected climate extreme trend from CMIP5 ensemble models of temperature and precipitation over Ethiopia.

Elements	Indices	RCP4.5			RCP8.5			Units
		Addis Ababa	Combolcha	Jimma	Addis Ababa	Combolcha	Jimma
Temperature	TMAXmean	0.01	0.012	0.009	0.066	0.068	0.062	°C
	TMINmean	0.012	0.014	0.011	0.015	0.017	0.015	°C
	SU25	0.51	0.292	0.136	3.162	0.694	0.538	days
	TR20	0.002	0.507	0.903	0.009	0.708	1.107	days
	TXx	0.014	0.016	0.013	0.068	0.072	0.06	°C
	TNx	0.019	0.018	0.015	0.019	0.017	0.013	°C
	TXn	0.005	0.008	0.006	0.055	0.058	0.048	°C
	TNn	0.006	0.01	0.005	0.02	0.022	0.019	°C
	Tx90p	0.098	0.106	0.107	0.511	0.514	0.498	days
	WSDI	0.011	0.009	0.006	1.16	1.199	1.076	days
	DTR	−0.004	−0.002	−0.002	0.051	0.049	0.046	°C
Precipitation	RX1day	0.006	−0.007	0.036	−0.008	−0.025	−0.014	mm
	RX5day	0.023	−0.015	0.06	−0.036	−0.057	−0.025	mm
	SDII	0	−0.002	0.004	−0.004	−0.005	−0.002	mm/day
	R10	0.033	−0.003	0.075	−0.113	−0.044	−0.031	days
	R20	0	0	0.002	−0.018	−0.003	−0.002	days
	CDD	0.16	0.054	0.084	0.227	0.147	0.092	days
	CWD	−0.062	−0.049	−0.198	−0.149	−0.036	0.064	days
	R95p	0.261	−0.048	0.79	−0.827	−0.616	−0.377	mm
	R99p	0.195	−0.052	0.297	−0.382	−0.32	−0.231	mm
	PRCPTOT	−0.061	0.044	0.495	−1.517	−1.07	−0.389	mm

Note: 0.05: confidence level; 0.1: confidence level.