Solar GHI Ensemble Prediction Based on a Meteorological Model and Method Kalman Filter

Figure 9

Time series of solar GHI intraday prediction by using model WRF only and its 50%, 80%, 90%, and 95% prediction interval during the period from December 1 to 10 in 2013. (a) prediction and ensemble spread, (b) prediction and 50% prediction interval, (c) prediction and 80% prediction interval, (d) prediction and 90% prediction interval, and (e) prediction and 95% prediction interval.

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