Research Article
Socioeconomic Status and Vulnerability to HIV Infection in Uganda: Evidence from Multilevel Modelling of AIDS Indicator Survey Data
Table 3
Odds ratios (OR) of being HIV positive for women and men, Uganda AIS, 2004-2005 and 2011 (
) controlling for age in single-year dummy variables.
| Parameter | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI |
| Fixed Effect | | | | | | | | | Constant | 0.06 | [0.06–0.08] | 0.13 | [0.10–0.16] | 0.01 | [0.01–0.02] | 0.00 | [0.00–0.01] | Model 1: SES factors | | | | | | | | | Wealth (Ref: Lowest) | | | | | | | | | Second | 1.04 | [0.90–1.20] | 1.03 | [0.89–1.18] | 1.07 | [0.92–1.23] | 1.03 | [0.89–1.19] | Middle | 1.00 | [0.86–1.15] | 0.98 | [0.85–1.13] | 1.06 | [0.91–1.23] | 1.02 | [0.88–1.18] | Fourth | 1.02 | [0.88–1.18] | 1.00 | [0.86–1.16] | 1.08 | [0.93–1.26] | 1.04 | [0.89–1.21] | Highest | 1.05 | [0.90–1.22] | 1.06 | [0.91–1.24] | 1.18 | [1.00–1.38] | 1.13 | [0.96–1.33] | Education (Ref: No education) | | | | | | | | | Incomplete primary | 0.91 | [0.80–1.04] | 0.87 | [0.76–0.99] | 1.23 | [1.08–1.41] | 1.12 | [0.97–1.28] | Complete primary | 1.00 | [0.86–1.18] | 0.92 | [0.78–1.08] | 1.31 | [1.11–1.54] | 1.16 | [0.98–1.37] | Incomplete secondary | 0.67 | [0.57–0.78] | 0.58 | [0.49–0.68] | 1.09 | [0.92–1.29] | 0.95 | [0.80–1.12] | Complete secondary & higher | 0.54 | [0.43–0.68] | 0.43 | [0.34–0.55] | 0.69 | [0.54–0.89] | 0.61 | [0.48–0.79] | Missing | 1.20 | [0.34–4.23] | 1.22 | [0.35–4.27] | 1.83 | [0.51–6.60] | 1.71 | [0.47–6.15] | Model 2: Other SES factors | | | | | | | | | Place of residence (Ref: Urban) | | | | | | | | | Rural | | | 0.51 | [0.43–0.59] | 0.52 | [0.45–0.61] | 0.60 | [0.52–0.70] | Ethnicity (Ref: Baganda) | | | | | | | | | Banyankole/Bakiga | | | 1.13 | [0.95–1.34] | 1.17 | [0.98–1.39] | 1.42 | [1.19–1.68] | Iteso/Karimojong | | | 0.67 | [0.54–0.84] | 0.74 | [0.59–0.93] | 0.85 | [0.68–1.06] | Lubgbara/Madi | | | 0.45 | [0.35–0.60] | 0.47 | [0.36–0.62] | 0.60 | [0.46–0.79] | Basoga | | | 0.77 | [0.62–0.95] | 0.78 | [0.63–0.97] | 0.76 | [0.61–0.94] | Langi/Acholi | | | 1.13 | [0.92–1.39] | 1.22 | [0.99–1.50] | 1.42 | [1.16–1.75] | Bagisu/Sabiny | | | 0.75 | [0.57–0.98] | 0.80 | [0.61–1.04] | 0.73 | [0.56–0.95] | Alur/Japadhola | | | 0.72 | [0.56–0.94] | 0.80 | [0.62–1.05] | 0.84 | [0.64–1.09] | Banyoro/Batoro | | | 1.28 | [1.04–1.58] | 1.35 | [1.09–1.66] | 1.33 | [1.08–1.63] | All others | | | 0.82 | [0.69–0.98] | 0.86 | [0.72–1.04] | 0.95 | [0.79–1.14] | Time in years (Ref: 2005-05) | | | | | | | | | UG6 | | | 1.22 | [1.08–1.38] | 1.23 | [1.08–1.39] | 1.22 | [1.08–1.37] | Model 3: socio-demographics | | | | | | | | | Age of respondent (Ref: 15 years) | | | | | | | | | Age 16 | | | | | 0.94 | [0.50–1.75] | 0.86 | [0.46–1.61] | Age 17 | | | | | 1.04 | [0.57–1.90] | 0.88 | [0.48–1.64] | Age 18 | | | | | 1.66 | [0.97–2.84] | 1.24 | [0.70–2.18] | Age 19 | | | | | 1.85 | [1.07–3.19] | 1.33 | [0.74–2.37] | Age 20 | | | | | 1.89 | [1.11–3.22] | 1.27 | [0.72–2.24] | Age 21 | | | | | 2.95 | [1.74–5.01] | 1.86 | [1.05–3.30] | Age 22 | | | | | 2.74 | [1.63–4.63] | 1.75 | [1.00–3.08] | Age 23 | | | | | 2.84 | [1.67–4.83] | 1.75 | [0.98–3.11] | Age 24 | | | | | 2.51 | [1.48–4.26] | 1.51 | [0.85–2.67] | Age 25 | | | | | 2.90 | [1.73–4.86] | 1.73 | [0.99–3.02] | Age 26 | | | | | 3.36 | [1.97–5.71] | 1.98 | [1.12–3.51] | Age 27 | | | | | 3.33 | [1.96–5.65] | 1.89 | [1.07–3.35] | Age 28 | | | | | 3.81 | [2.28–6.35] | 2.24 | [1.29–3.90] | Age 29 | | | | | 5.01 | [2.98–8.42] | 2.80 | [1.60–4.92] | Age 30 | | | | | 4.41 | [2.66–7.29] | 2.55 | [1.48–4.41] | Age 31 | | | | | 4.60 | [2.72–7.77] | 2.45 | [1.39–4.33] | Age 32 | | | | | 4.73 | [2.83–7.92] | 2.67 | [1.53–4.66] | Age 33 | | | | | 5.91 | [3.49–9.99] | 3.20 | [1.81–5.64] | Age 34 | | | | | 4.96 | [2.91–8.43] | 2.76 | [1.56–4.89] | Age 35 | | | | | 4.90 | [2.94–8.17] | 2.64 | [1.52–4.60] | Age 36 | | | | | 4.29 | [2.51–7.33] | 2.33 | [1.31–4.15] | Age 37 | | | | | 5.37 | [3.15–9.15] | 2.93 | [1.65–5.22] | Age 38 | | | | | 4.29 | [2.54–7.25] | 2.25 | [1.27–3.96] | Age 39 | | | | | 5.37 | [3.13–9.23] | 2.84 | [1.59–5.08] | Age 40 | | | | | 3.96 | [2.35–6.67] | 2.17 | [1.24–3.82] | Age 41 | | | | | 5.26 | [3.05–9.07] | 2.79 | [1.55–5.01] | Age 42 | | | | | 4.21 | [2.45–7.21] | 2.14 | [1.20–3.83] | Age 43 | | | | | 4.64 | [2.58–8.34] | 2.38 | [1.28–4.46] | Age 44 | | | | | 4.57 | [2.58–8.10] | 2.38 | [1.29–4.38] | Age 45 | | | | | 3.66 | [2.13–6.27] | 1.82 | [1.02–3.25] | Age 46 | | | | | 3.26 | [1.80–5.89] | 1.64 | [0.88–3.08] | Age 47 | | | | | 3.57 | [1.97–6.45] | 1.84 | [0.98–3.46] | Age 48 | | | | | 3.18 | [1.80–5.63] | 1.60 | [0.87–2.96] | Age 49 | | | | | 4.62 | [2.57–8.30] | 2.34 | [1.25–4.37] | Age 50 | | | | | 1.69 | [0.92–3.11] | 0.85 | [0.44–1.62] | Age 51 | | | | | 2.87 | [1.52–5.39] | 1.44 | [0.74–2.81] | Age 52 | | | | | 3.03 | [1.67–5.51] | 1.54 | [0.82–2.92] | Age 53 | | | | | 2.75 | [1.39–5.47] | 1.41 | [0.69–2.90] | Age 54 | | | | | 2.07 | [1.06–4.04] | 1.11 | [0.55–2.24] | Age 55 | | | | | 1.50 | [0.72–3.11] | 0.77 | [0.36–1.65] | Age 56 | | | | | 1.67 | [0.82–3.43] | 0.81 | [0.38–1.72] | Age 57 | | | | | 2.20 | [1.06–4.58] | 1.13 | [0.53–2.44] | Age 58 | | | | | 1.93 | [0.95–3.92] | 0.99 | [0.47–2.09] | Age 59 | | | | | 1.51 | [0.66–3.47] | 0.74 | [0.31–1.75] | Marital status (Ref: Never) | | | | | | | | | Married/living together | | | | | 1.65 | [1.36–2.00] | 2.00 | [1.61–2.47] | Widowed | | | | | 8.12 | [6.39–10.31] | 7.18 | [5.61–9.19] | Divorced/separated | | | | | 3.74 | [3.02–4.63] | 3.22 | [2.58–4.02] | Sex of respondent (Ref: Men) | | | | | | | | | Women | | | | | 1.16 | [1.05–1.27] | 1.73 | [1.55–1.93] | Model 4: Sexual Practices | | | | | | | | | Drunk alcohol (Ref: No) | | | | | | | | | Drunk | | | | | | | 1.23 | [1.10–1.37] | Not applicable | | | | | | | 0.26 | [0.01–4.89] | Used condom (Ref: No) | | | | | | | | | Used condom | | | | | | | 2.34 | [2.02–2.71] | Not applicable | | | | | | | 6.22 | [0.34–115.28] | Sexual partners (Ref: 1 partner) | | | | | | | | | 2–4 partners | | | | | | | 2.08 | [1.82–2.38] | >4 partners | | | | | | | 3.76 | [3.19–4.42] | Not applicable | | | | | | | 0.99 | [0.68–1.44] | HIV/AIDS Knowledge (Ref: No) | | | | | | | | | Lowest knowledge | | | | | | | 1.12 | [0.79–1.58] | Medium knowledge | | | | | | | 1.11 | [0.82–1.52] | Highest knowledge | | | | | | | 1.38 | [1.02–1.87] | Random Effects | | | | | | | | | Cluster variance | 0.566 | 0.049 | 0.385 | 0.039 | 0.365 | 0.039 | 0.318 | 0.036 | Units: Cluster | 887 | | 887 | | 887 | | 887 | | Units: Individual | 39766 | | 39766 | | 39766 | | 39766 | | Estimation: | IGLS (MQL1) | | IGLS (PQL2) | | IGLS (PQL2) | | IGLS (PQL2) | |
|
|
OR: odds ratios; 95% CI: confidence intervals. significance at 5% level, . |