Larval Indices of Vector Mosquitoes as Predictors of Dengue Epidemics: An Approach to Manage Dengue Outbreaks Based on Entomological Parameters in the Districts of Colombo and Kandy, Sri Lanka
Table 2
Area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curves of different larval indices in terms of dengue epidemic incidence at lag periods of 1 and 2 months.
District
MOH area
BIagp
BIalb
CI
HI
BIagp
BIalb
CI
HI
Colombo
Dehiwala
0.409
0.289
0.210
0.293
0.661
0.347
0.319
0.508
Kaduwela
0.437
0.319
0.196
0.237
0.731
0.374
0.287
0.407
Kolonnawa
0.497
0.217
0.176
0.336
0.698
0.288
0.269
0.568
Piliyandala
0.373
0.327
0.133
0.299
0.619
0.365
0.301
0.509
Moratuwa
0.507
0.304
0.219
0.361
0.794
0.354
0.334
0.589
Kandy
KMC & GK
0.485
0.327
0.297
0.402
0.684
0.349
0.358
0.519
Akurana
0.530
0.315
0.250
0.456
0.761
0.317
0.336
0.637
Gampola
0.421
0.276
0.184
0.393
0.627
0.321
0.317
0.573
Kundasale
0.389
0.269
0.201
0.243
0.655
0.309
0.309
0.549
Note: “” indicate instances, where area under curve >0.5.
